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Eredivisie

Referee: S Mulder

Ajax

S S T S S

5–2

Full-time

For Sittard

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax For Sittard

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

4,5

3,7

Scored

4,0

1,2

Conceded

0,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+3,5

-1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

4,5

3,7

Scored

4,0

1,2

Conceded

0,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+3,5

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

73% Possession 27%

30 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 7

11 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 0

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · For Sittard 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+21	15
2	Vitesse	6	5	0	1	+8	15
3	Twente	7	4	2	1	+10	14
4	PSV Eindhoven	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	Heerenveen	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	+7	11
7	Groningen	6	3	1	2	+0	10
8	Utrecht	5	2	3	0	+3	9
9	Zwolle	7	1	3	3	-5	6
10	AZ Alkmaar	5	0	5	0	+0	5
11	Willem II	6	1	2	3	-4	5
12	Waalwijk	6	1	2	3	-5	5
13	Heracles	6	1	2	3	-6	5
14	VVV Venlo	6	1	2	3	-13	5
15	Den Haag	6	1	1	4	-6	4
16	FC Emmen	6	0	3	3	-7	3
17	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	2	3	-7	2
18	For Sittard	6	0	2	4	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Heerenveen	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Vitesse	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Utrecht	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Heracles	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Groningen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Waalwijk	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	FC Emmen	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Den Haag	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	VVV Venlo	3	0	1	2	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	2	1	1	+4	7
3	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+13	6
4	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Groningen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Twente	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Waalwijk	3	1	0	2	-4	3
12	Utrecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Willem II	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Zwolle	3	0	2	1	-4	2
15	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	FC Emmen	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.