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Süper Lig

Referee: Erkan Ozdamar

Trabzonspor

U T T T U

1–0

Full-time

Erzurumspor

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Erzurumspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Süper Lig · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 21%

13%

29%

Points per game

0,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

50%

71%

Both score Ø 81%

75%

86%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

11 Shots 21

3 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 10

1 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Trabzonspor 17. · Erzurumspor 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	8	6	2	0	+15	20
2	Fenerbahce	9	6	2	1	+8	20
3	Galatasaray	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Gaziantep	9	3	5	1	+2	14
5	Karagumruk	9	3	4	2	+6	13
6	Buyuksehyr	9	4	1	4	+1	13
7	Besiktas	8	4	1	3	-1	13
8	Konyaspor	8	3	3	2	+4	12
9	Rizespor	8	3	3	2	+2	12
10	Kasimpasa	9	3	3	3	+1	12
11	Hatayspor	7	3	3	1	-2	12
12	Goztep	8	2	5	1	+5	11
13	Yeni Malatyaspor	8	3	2	3	-2	11
14	Sivasspor	8	2	3	3	-2	9
15	Antalyaspor	9	2	3	4	-5	9
16	Erzurumspor	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Trabzonspor	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	Kayserispor	7	2	0	5	-6	6
19	Genclerbirligi	8	1	2	5	-8	5
20	Denizlispor	8	1	2	5	-8	5
21	Ankaragücü	7	0	2	5	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karagumruk	5	3	2	0	+9	11
2	Alanyaspor	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Gaziantep	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Hatayspor	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Kasimpasa	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Goztep	4	2	1	1	+5	7
8	Konyaspor	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Buyuksehyr	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Rizespor	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Galatasaray	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Besiktas	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Fenerbahce	4	2	1	1	+1	7
14	Antalyaspor	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Trabzonspor	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Kayserispor	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Erzurumspor	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Denizlispor	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Genclerbirligi	4	0	2	2	-5	2
20	Ankaragücü	3	0	1	2	-2	1
21	Sivasspor	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Alanyaspor	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Galatasaray	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Sivasspor	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Gaziantep	5	1	3	1	-1	6
6	Erzurumspor	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Besiktas	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Buyuksehyr	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Konyaspor	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Rizespor	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Goztep	4	0	4	0	+0	4
12	Kasimpasa	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Hatayspor	3	1	1	1	-5	4
14	Trabzonspor	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Kayserispor	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Genclerbirligi	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Denizlispor	4	1	0	3	-6	3
18	Karagumruk	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Antalyaspor	4	0	2	2	-5	2
20	Ankaragücü	4	0	1	3	-5	1
21	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.