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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

Heracles

T T T S T

1–0

Full-time

Ajax

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 23/22 matches

Win Ø 56%

35%

77%

Points per game

1,3

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

43%

73%

Both score Ø 52%

48%

55%

Average goals

2,9

3,8

Scored

1,5

3,0

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+2,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

12 Shots 26

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 10

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 10

4 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 11. · Ajax 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	22	17	2	3	+46	53
2	AZ Alkmaar	23	16	2	5	+31	50
3	Feyenoord	23	13	7	3	+13	46
4	PSV Eindhoven	24	13	6	5	+25	45
5	Willem II	24	12	5	7	+3	41
6	Utrecht	23	11	5	7	+13	38
7	Vitesse	24	11	5	8	+10	38
8	Groningen	24	10	5	9	+4	35
9	Heerenveen	24	7	9	8	+1	30
10	Sparta Rotterdam	24	8	6	10	-4	30
11	Heracles	23	8	5	10	+3	29
12	FC Emmen	24	8	5	11	-12	29
13	Twente	24	7	6	11	-10	27
14	VVV Venlo	24	8	3	13	-24	27
15	For Sittard	24	6	6	12	-23	24
16	Zwolle	24	6	4	14	-19	22
17	Den Haag	24	4	6	14	-25	18
18	Waalwijk	24	3	3	18	-32	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	11	0	1	+34	33
2	AZ Alkmaar	12	9	1	2	+20	28
3	Feyenoord	12	8	3	1	+12	27
4	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	2	1	+20	26
5	FC Emmen	12	8	2	2	+11	26
6	Groningen	12	7	1	4	+8	22
7	Willem II	12	6	4	2	+6	22
8	Utrecht	11	7	0	4	+14	21
9	Sparta Rotterdam	12	6	3	3	+10	21
10	Vitesse	12	6	3	3	+8	21
11	For Sittard	12	6	3	3	+5	21
12	Heracles	11	6	1	4	+11	19
13	Twente	12	5	3	4	+2	18
14	Heerenveen	13	3	8	2	+1	17
15	VVV Venlo	12	5	2	5	-7	17
16	Zwolle	11	4	2	5	-3	14
17	Den Haag	12	2	5	5	-6	11
18	Waalwijk	12	2	2	8	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	1	3	+11	22
2	Ajax	10	6	2	2	+12	20
3	PSV Eindhoven	13	5	4	4	+5	19
4	Feyenoord	11	5	4	2	+1	19
5	Willem II	12	6	1	5	-3	19
6	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	+2	17
7	Utrecht	12	4	5	3	-1	17
8	Heerenveen	11	4	1	6	+0	13
9	Groningen	12	3	4	5	-4	13
10	Heracles	12	2	4	6	-8	10
11	VVV Venlo	12	3	1	8	-17	10
12	Twente	12	2	3	7	-12	9
13	Sparta Rotterdam	12	2	3	7	-14	9
14	Zwolle	13	2	2	9	-16	8
15	Den Haag	12	2	1	9	-19	7
16	Waalwijk	12	1	1	10	-24	4
17	FC Emmen	12	0	3	9	-23	3
18	For Sittard	12	0	3	9	-28	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.