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Eredivisie

Referee: B Kuipers

Utrecht

S U U S T

0–3

Full-time

Ajax

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,7

5,5

Scored

1,3

4,7

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+3,8

This season — Eredivisie · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 60%

33%

86%

Points per game

1,5

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

50%

71%

Both score Ø 63%

83%

43%

Average goals

2,7

4,9

Scored

1,3

4,1

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+3,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%

5 Shots 19

2 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 8

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 8. · Ajax 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+24	18
2	Vitesse	7	6	0	1	+10	18
3	Twente	8	5	2	1	+12	17
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+11	16
5	Heerenveen	7	5	1	1	+8	16
6	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	+8	14
7	Groningen	7	4	1	2	+1	13
8	Utrecht	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	AZ Alkmaar	6	1	5	0	+3	8
10	Heracles	8	2	2	4	-4	8
11	VVV Venlo	8	2	2	4	-13	8
12	Zwolle	8	1	4	3	-5	7
13	Willem II	7	1	2	4	-6	5
14	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	-8	5
15	Waalwijk	8	1	2	5	-10	5
16	Den Haag	8	1	1	6	-12	4
17	FC Emmen	7	0	3	4	-8	3
18	For Sittard	8	0	3	5	-11	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Twente	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Heerenveen	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Vitesse	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Utrecht	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Groningen	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	2	0	+3	5
10	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	VVV Venlo	4	1	1	2	-13	4
13	Willem II	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	FC Emmen	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Waalwijk	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Den Haag	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Twente	4	2	1	1	+4	7
4	PSV Eindhoven	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+13	6
7	Groningen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	VVV Venlo	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Zwolle	4	0	3	1	-4	3
11	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	0	2	-4	3
12	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-7	3
13	Waalwijk	4	1	0	3	-7	3
14	Willem II	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Utrecht	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	FC Emmen	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-7	1
18	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.