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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

VVV Venlo

S U T T U

0–13

Full-time

Ajax

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,7

This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

20%

80%

Points per game

1,0

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

80%

40%

Average goals

3,6

2,8

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

1,8

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

24% Possession 76%

3 Shots 45

0 Shots on target 23

1 Blocked shots 12

10 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 12

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match VVV Venlo 9. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+8	12
3	Vitesse	5	4	0	1	+7	12
4	Twente	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+7	10
6	Heerenveen	5	3	1	1	+1	10
7	Groningen	5	2	1	2	-2	7
8	Utrecht	4	1	3	0	+2	6
9	VVV Venlo	5	1	2	2	+0	5
10	Zwolle	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	AZ Alkmaar	4	0	4	0	+0	4
12	Willem II	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Waalwijk	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Heracles	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	FC Emmen	5	0	3	2	-3	3
16	Den Haag	5	1	0	4	-6	3
17	For Sittard	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Twente	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Heracles	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Groningen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	FC Emmen	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	VVV Venlo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Twente	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
7	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Waalwijk	3	1	0	2	-4	3
11	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Zwolle	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Utrecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.