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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

S T T U U

3–0

Full-time

Darmstadt

S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Darmstadt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,7

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

43%

71%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

71%

Average goals

2,1

3,9

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,1

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

17 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 2

5 Corners 8

14 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 12. · Darmstadt 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Paderborn	8	4	2	2	+7	14
3	Osnabruck	7	3	4	0	+4	13
4	Holstein Kiel	8	3	4	1	+2	13
5	Greuther Furth	7	3	3	1	+6	12
6	Bochum	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	3	2	3	-2	11
8	Karlsruhe	8	3	1	4	+3	10
9	Hannover	7	3	1	3	+3	10
10	Heidenheim	8	2	3	3	+1	9
11	Regensburg	7	2	3	2	+0	9
12	Erzgebirge Aue	7	2	3	2	-1	9
13	Darmstadt	7	2	3	2	-3	9
14	Sandhausen	8	2	2	4	-4	8
15	Braunschweig	8	2	2	4	-8	8
16	Nurnberg	7	1	4	2	-1	7
17	St Pauli	8	1	4	3	-4	7
18	Wurzburger Kickers	7	0	1	6	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Hamburg	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Paderborn	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Heidenheim	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Sandhausen	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Holstein Kiel	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Regensburg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Osnabruck	3	2	1	0	+2	7
10	Braunschweig	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Erzgebirge Aue	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Nurnberg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Bochum	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Greuther Furth	3	1	1	1	+2	4
15	St Pauli	3	1	1	1	-1	4
16	Karlsruhe	3	1	0	2	+1	3
17	Darmstadt	3	0	2	1	-4	2
18	Wurzburger Kickers	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Karlsruhe	5	2	1	2	+2	7
3	Hamburg	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Darmstadt	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Osnabruck	4	1	3	0	+2	6
6	Bochum	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Paderborn	4	1	2	1	+3	5
8	Holstein Kiel	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Erzgebirge Aue	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	St Pauli	5	0	3	2	-3	3
11	Nurnberg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Regensburg	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Heidenheim	4	0	1	3	-4	1
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	0	1	3	-5	1
15	Braunschweig	4	0	1	3	-8	1
16	Hannover	3	0	0	3	-5	0
17	Wurzburger Kickers	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	Sandhausen	4	0	0	4	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.