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Süper Lig

Referee: Halis Ozkahya

Hatayspor

U S T U S

2–2

Full-time

Rizespor

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Rizespor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

This season — Süper Lig · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 47%

50%

43%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 23%

17%

29%

Both score Ø 30%

17%

43%

Average goals

2,0

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hatayspor 11. · Rizespor 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	9	6	2	1	+8	20
2	Alanyaspor	7	5	2	0	+13	17
3	Galatasaray	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Gaziantep	9	3	5	1	+2	14
5	Karagumruk	9	3	4	2	+6	13
6	Buyuksehyr	9	4	1	4	+1	13
7	Besiktas	8	4	1	3	-1	13
8	Kasimpasa	8	3	3	2	+2	12
9	Rizespor	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Yeni Malatyaspor	8	3	2	3	-2	11
11	Hatayspor	6	3	2	1	-2	11
12	Konyaspor	7	2	3	2	+3	9
13	Sivasspor	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Antalyaspor	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Goztep	7	1	5	1	+3	8
16	Erzurumspor	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Trabzonspor	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	Kayserispor	7	2	0	5	-6	6
19	Genclerbirligi	8	1	2	5	-8	5
20	Denizlispor	8	1	2	5	-8	5
21	Ankaragücü	6	0	2	4	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karagumruk	5	3	2	0	+9	11
2	Alanyaspor	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Gaziantep	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Kasimpasa	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Buyuksehyr	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Hatayspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Rizespor	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Antalyaspor	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Galatasaray	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Besiktas	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Fenerbahce	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Goztep	3	1	1	1	+3	4
14	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+2	4
15	Trabzonspor	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Kayserispor	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Erzurumspor	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Denizlispor	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Genclerbirligi	4	0	2	2	-5	2
20	Ankaragücü	3	0	1	2	-2	1
21	Sivasspor	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Galatasaray	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Sivasspor	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Alanyaspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Gaziantep	5	1	3	1	-1	6
6	Erzurumspor	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Besiktas	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Buyuksehyr	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Konyaspor	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Goztep	4	0	4	0	+0	4
11	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Kasimpasa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Hatayspor	3	1	1	1	-5	4
14	Trabzonspor	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Kayserispor	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Genclerbirligi	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Denizlispor	4	1	0	3	-6	3
18	Karagumruk	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Antalyaspor	4	0	2	2	-5	2
20	Ankaragücü	3	0	1	2	-3	1
21	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.