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LaLiga2
Ponferradina
T T S T U
2–1
Full-time
Zaragoza
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 26%
42%
9%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
42%
36%
Both score Ø 31%
25%
36%
Average goals
2,2
1,6
Scored
0,9
0,6
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

8 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 5
8 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ponferradina 15. · Zaragoza 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 13 8 3 2 +13 27
2 Mallorca 13 7 5 1 +11 26
3 Leganes 13 8 1 4 +4 25
4 Sp Gijon 13 7 3 3 +5 24
5 Almeria 11 6 2 3 +5 20
6 Vallecano 13 6 2 5 +3 20
7 Logrones 12 6 2 4 +2 20
8 Mirandes 13 5 4 4 +3 19
9 Fuenlabrada 13 4 7 2 +2 19
10 Lugo 13 6 1 6 +0 19
11 Girona 12 5 3 4 -2 18
12 Malaga 13 5 3 5 -7 18
13 Oviedo 13 4 5 4 +2 17
14 Las Palmas 13 4 5 4 -2 17
15 Ponferradina 12 5 1 6 -4 16
16 Cartagena 13 4 3 6 -1 15
17 Tenerife 13 3 4 6 -4 13
18 Castellon 13 3 2 8 -7 11
19 Sabadell 12 3 1 8 -5 10
20 Albacete 12 2 4 6 -6 10
21 Zaragoza 11 1 5 5 -4 8
22 Alcorcon 12 2 2 8 -8 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,52
U
2,89
B
3,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,50
U2,5
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.