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Pro League

Referee: N Laforge

Genk

S S S S S

4–1

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

2,5

0,2

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,7

This season — Pro League · 13/9 matches

Win Ø 27%

54%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

69%

22%

Both score Ø 59%

85%

33%

Average goals

3,2

1,9

Scored

2,0

0,3

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 11

10 Shots on target 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 22

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 2. · Royal Excel Mouscron 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beerschot VA	14	9	1	4	+5	28
2	Genk	13	7	5	1	+10	26
3	Charleroi	13	7	3	3	+10	24
4	Club Brugge	12	7	2	3	+17	23
5	Antwerp	13	6	5	2	+7	23
6	Standard	13	6	5	2	+5	23
7	Anderlecht	13	5	7	1	+9	22
8	Cercle Brugge	13	7	0	6	+3	21
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	6	3	3	+2	21
10	Gent	14	6	1	7	+4	19
11	Kortrijk	15	5	4	6	-1	19
12	Eupen	14	3	8	3	-4	17
13	Waregem	15	5	2	8	-8	17
14	Oostende	11	4	4	3	+7	16
15	Mechelen	11	4	3	4	-2	15
16	St Truiden	11	2	3	6	-9	9
17	Waasland-Beveren	11	1	2	8	-15	5
18	Beveren	11	1	2	8	-15	5
19	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	0	3	6	-11	3
20	Mouscron	10	0	3	7	-14	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beerschot VA	8	7	0	1	+10	21
2	Genk	6	4	2	0	+10	14
3	Oostende	8	4	2	2	+8	14
4	Club Brugge	7	4	1	2	+6	13
5	Antwerp	7	3	4	0	+5	13
6	Charleroi	6	4	0	2	+6	12
7	Anderlecht	6	2	4	0	+4	10
8	Standard	6	2	4	0	+2	10
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	3	1	1	+1	10
10	Cercle Brugge	5	3	0	2	+4	9
11	St Truiden	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Kortrijk	8	2	2	4	-2	8
13	Waregem	8	2	1	5	-6	7
14	Eupen	6	1	3	2	-4	6
15	Mechelen	5	1	2	2	+0	5
16	Gent	5	1	1	3	+1	4
17	Mouscron	5	0	1	4	-5	1
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	0	1	4	-5	1
19	Waasland-Beveren	6	0	1	5	-10	1
20	Beveren	6	0	1	5	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	9	5	0	4	+3	15
2	Standard	7	4	1	2	+3	13
3	Anderlecht	7	3	3	1	+5	12
4	Charleroi	7	3	3	1	+4	12
5	Genk	7	3	3	1	+0	12
6	Cercle Brugge	8	4	0	4	-1	12
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Kortrijk	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Eupen	8	2	5	1	+0	11
10	Club Brugge	5	3	1	1	+11	10
11	Antwerp	6	3	1	2	+2	10
12	Waregem	7	3	1	3	-2	10
13	Mechelen	6	3	1	2	-2	10
14	Beerschot VA	6	2	1	3	-5	7
15	Waasland-Beveren	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Beveren	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Oostende	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	0	2	2	-6	2
19	Mouscron	5	0	2	3	-9	2
20	St Truiden	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.