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Bundesliga

Referee: T Stieler

FC Koln

T U U T U

1–2

Full-time

Union Berlin

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Union Berlin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

0,8

2,5

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,8

This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 22%

43%

Points per game

0,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 79%

86%

71%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Koln 17. · Union Berlin 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	6	1	1	+16	19
2	Dortmund	8	6	0	2	+13	18
3	Leverkusen	8	5	3	0	+7	18
4	RB Leipzig	8	5	2	1	+11	17
5	Wolfsburg	8	3	5	0	+4	14
6	Union Berlin	7	3	3	1	+9	12
7	M'gladbach	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	Stuttgart	8	2	5	1	+4	11
9	Werder Bremen	8	2	5	1	+0	11
10	Augsburg	8	3	2	3	-1	11
11	Ein Frankfurt	8	2	5	1	-2	11
12	Hoffenheim	8	2	2	4	-1	8
13	Hertha	8	2	1	5	-3	7
14	Freiburg	8	1	3	4	-10	6
15	Mainz	8	1	1	6	-11	4
16	Bielefeld	8	1	1	6	-12	4
17	FC Koln	7	0	3	4	-5	3
18	Schalke 04	8	0	3	5	-19	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+14	10
3	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+9	9
4	Wolfsburg	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Union Berlin	4	2	1	1	+7	7
6	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	M'gladbach	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Augsburg	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Werder Bremen	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Stuttgart	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Bielefeld	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Freiburg	4	0	2	2	-4	2
15	Schalke 04	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	FC Koln	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Mainz	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Hertha	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	5	3	2	0	+4	11
2	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Bayern Munich	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Stuttgart	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Hertha	4	2	0	2	+4	6
6	Werder Bremen	4	1	3	0	+2	6
7	Wolfsburg	4	1	3	0	+2	6
8	M'gladbach	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Union Berlin	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	RB Leipzig	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-3	5
13	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Freiburg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
15	Mainz	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	FC Koln	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Bielefeld	4	0	1	3	-7	1
18	Schalke 04	4	0	1	3	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.