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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Odd
T S U S T
1–2
Full-time
Start
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odd Start
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 38%
54%
21%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
58%
54%
Both score Ø 48%
46%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Odd 5. · Start 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 24 21 2 1 +56 65
2 Molde 25 16 2 7 +32 50
3 Valerenga 25 13 7 5 +13 46
4 Rosenborg 24 13 6 5 +18 45
5 Odd 24 13 3 8 +9 42
6 Kristiansund 24 9 10 5 +11 37
7 Viking 24 9 6 9 -1 33
8 Stabaek 25 7 10 8 -6 31
9 Haugesund 24 9 4 11 -9 31
10 Sarpsborg 08 24 8 4 12 -4 28
11 Sandefjord 24 8 4 12 -12 28
12 Brann 24 6 7 11 -11 25
13 Stromsgodset 24 5 9 10 -15 24
14 Start 24 5 7 12 -16 22
15 Mjondalen 24 6 2 16 -20 20
16 Aalesund 25 2 5 18 -45 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Odd Start
R. Simovic 🔁
↦ E. Rashani
44′
Half-time 0–1
51′
E. Schulze 0–1
62′
🔁 M. Ramsland
↦ C. Bolaños
64′
🟨 Jonas Deumeland
1–1 J. Kitolano
E. Ruud
64′
T. Lauritsen 🔁
↦ F. Nordkvelle
72′
72′
🔁 K. Skaanes
↦ E. Schulze
82′
K. Kabran 1–2
M. Ramsland
O. Ugwuadu 🔁
↦ V. Rodić
86′
K. Egell-Johnsen 🔁
↦ J. Kitolano
86′
86′
🔁 V. Bergan
↦ E. Marković
Vebjørn Hoff 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Martin Ramsland
90′
🟨 Mohamed El Makrini
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Odd

4-3-3
12 E. Selvik G
2 E. Ruud D
5 J. Kitolano D
18 O. Bjørtuft D
14 F. Nordkvelle M
11 E. Rashani F
6 V. Hoff D
7 V. Rodić F
16 J. Kitolano M
26 F. Jørgensen M
9 M. Bakenga F
Bench (8)
22 R. Simovic
20 T. Lauritsen
10 O. Ugwuadu
13 K. Egell-Johnsen
30 P. Hagen
24 B. Mæland
4 R. Petersen
15 E. Gayi

Coach: J. Nornes

Start

4-3-3
1 J. Deumeland G
6 J. Jørgensen D
27 E. Wichne D
22 K. Tønnessen D
2 J. Daland D
4 M. El Makrini M
30 C. Bolaños F
11 E. Schulze M
23 E. Segberg M
8 E. Marković F
7 K. Kabran F
Bench (8)
9 M. Ramsland
19 K. Skaanes
3 V. Bergan
12 A. Wichne
10 S. Skålevik
15 H. Robstad
20 M. Bringaker
14 E. Børufsen

Coach: J. Hardarson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.