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Eredivisie

Referee: C Bax

Waalwijk

S U U T T

1–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

13%

63%

Points per game

0,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,4

Scored

0,6

2,0

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%

22 Shots 12

10 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 9

16 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

6 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Waalwijk 15. · Heerenveen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	8	0	1	+32	24
2	Vitesse	9	7	1	1	+12	22
3	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	+12	20
4	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	+14	19
5	Twente	8	5	2	1	+12	17
6	Heerenveen	8	5	1	2	+5	16
7	Groningen	9	4	2	3	-1	14
8	AZ Alkmaar	7	2	5	0	+6	11
9	Utrecht	8	2	4	2	-3	10
10	Sparta Rotterdam	8	2	2	4	-2	8
11	Zwolle	9	1	5	3	-5	8
12	Willem II	9	2	2	5	-8	8
13	Heracles	9	2	2	5	-9	8
14	VVV Venlo	9	2	2	5	-14	8
15	Waalwijk	8	1	2	5	-10	5
16	Den Haag	9	1	1	7	-18	4
17	FC Emmen	8	0	3	5	-10	3
18	For Sittard	9	0	3	6	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Vitesse	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Twente	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Heerenveen	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Groningen	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Willem II	5	2	0	3	-3	6
11	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	2	0	+3	5
12	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	2	2	+2	5
13	Zwolle	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	VVV Venlo	4	1	1	2	-13	4
15	FC Emmen	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Waalwijk	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	For Sittard	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Den Haag	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Vitesse	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+16	9
4	Twente	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	PSV Eindhoven	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	3	0	+3	6
8	Groningen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	VVV Venlo	5	1	1	3	-1	4
10	Utrecht	4	0	3	1	-3	3
11	Zwolle	4	0	3	1	-4	3
12	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Waalwijk	4	1	0	3	-7	3
14	Den Haag	5	1	0	4	-13	3
15	Willem II	4	0	2	2	-5	2
16	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-7	1
17	FC Emmen	4	0	1	3	-7	1
18	Heracles	5	0	1	4	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.