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Champions League
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Sparta Praha
S S S T T
2–1
Full-time
Lyon
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Praha Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 9
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sparta Praha Lyon
Jonatan Braut Brunes ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
20′
45′
⚽ M. Suchomel 1–0
own goal
Half-time 2–0
2–0 M. Rynes ⚽
A. Irving
63′
Adam Karabec 🟨
66′
67′
❌ Corentin Tolisso
penalty missed
3–0 J. Mercado ⚽
M. Rynes
69′
S. Eneme 🔁
↦ A. Irving
75′
75′
🔁 M. Fofana
↦ M. de Carvalho
75′
🔁 E. Nuamah
↦ M. Ouedraogo
L. Haraslin 🔁
↦ J. Alcocer
84′
E. Singhateh 🔁
↦ J. Brunes
85′
H. Sochurek 🔁
↦ A. Karabec
85′
G. Kuol 🔁
↦ J. Mercado
92′
Matěj Ryneš 🟨
94′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sparta Praha

4-2-3-1
44 J. Surovcik G
2 M. Suchomel D
19 A. Sevinsky D
25 A. Sorensen D
11 M. Rynes D
28 R. Macek M
18 A. Irving M
17 J. Mercado M
10 A. Karabec M
7 J. Alcocer M
14 J. Brunes F
Bench (12)
47 K. Hegyi
3 P. Kaderabek
22 L. Haraslin
5 S. Eneme
29 M. Vojta
24 D. Holly
36 G. Kuol
27 E. Singhateh
30 J. Zeleny
21 J. Grimaldo
38 H. Sochurek
15 V. Vitalyos

Coach: Brian Priske

Lyon

3-4-3
1 D. Greif G
22 C. Mata D
6 T. Tessmann D
21 R. Kluivert D
98 A. Maitland-Niles M
23 T. Morton M
39 M. de Carvalho M
76 M. Ouedraogo M
16 Abner Vinicius F
17 L. Openda F
8 C. Tolisso F
Bench (11)
40 R. Descamps
30 Y. Konan
11 M. Fofana
7 E. Nuamah
26 K. Boudache
45 R. Himbert
5 O. Mangala
24 J. Duranville
99 N. Nartey
85 N. Kamara
37 S. Kango

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.