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Ligue 1
Referee: Mathieu Vernice
Lens
U S T S S
5–2
Full-time
Auxerre
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Auxerre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4,41 xG 1,84
53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Jan -26 Lens – Auxerre 1–0 4. Oct -25 Auxerre – Lens 1–2 27. Apr -25 Lens – Auxerre 0–4 14. Dec -24 Auxerre – Lens 2–2 3. Jun -23 Auxerre – Lens 1–3

Match report

Lens Auxerre
1–0 Florian Thauvin ⚽
12′
35′
🟥 Christ Makosso
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Franjo Ivanović ⚽
Abdallah Sima
49′
3–0 Saud Abdulhamid ⚽
Florian Thauvin
54′
Saud Abdulhamid ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
54′
61′
⚽ Danny Namaso 3–1
Thorgan Hazard 🔁
↦ Franjo Ivanović
62′
Michał Skóraś 🔁
↦ Saud Abdulhamid
62′
4–1 Ismaelo Ganiou ⚽
Michał Skóraś
66′
67′
🔁 Rayan Mandengue
↦ Aristide Zossou
67′
🔁 Lamfia Dioubaté
↦ Romain Faivre
69′
⚽ Lamine Sy 4–2
Rayan Mandengue
Amadou Haidara 🔁
↦ Michaël Cuisance
71′
Odsonne Édouard 🔁
↦ Abdallah Sima
71′
77′
🔁 Lasso Coulibaly
↦ Danny Namaso
77′
🔁 Elikya Legros
↦ Naouirou Ahamada
Andrija Bulatović 🔁
↦ Ismaelo Ganiou
79′
Maik Nawrocki 🟨
84′
Florian Thauvin ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
84′
86′
🟨 Lamfia Dioubaté
87′
🔁 Josué Casimir
↦ Arthur Piedfort
5–2 Florian Thauvin ⚽
88′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Lens

3-4-2-1
40 Robin Risser G
3 Maik Nawrocki D
25 Ismaelo Ganiou D
31 Souleymane Sagnan D
23 Saud Abdulhamid M
27 Michaël Cuisance M
8 Yassine Titraoui M
14 Matthieu Udol M
10 Florian Thauvin F
29 Franjo Ivanović F
19 Abdallah Sima F
Bench (9)
22 Michał Skóraś
9 Thorgan Hazard
21 Amadou Haidara
11 Odsonne Édouard
5 Andrija Bulatović
16 Mathieu Gorgelin
38 Mezian Mesloub
18 Rayan Fofana
7 Florian Sotoca

Coach: Dino Toppmoller

Auxerre

4-3-3
23 Mamadou Diop G
27 Lamine Sy D
20 Sinaly Diomandé D
15 Christ Makosso D
92 Clement Akpa D
8 Naouirou Ahamada M
46 Arthur Piedfort M
5 Kévin Danois M
21 Romain Faivre F
10 Danny Namaso F
77 Aristide Zossou F
Bench (9)
32 Rayan Mandengue
34 Lamfia Dioubaté
35 Elikya Legros
18 Lasso Coulibaly
7 Josué Casimir
1 Paul Nardi
22 Fredrik Oppegård
45 Salimou Danfakha
36 Tidiane Devernois

Coach: Christophe Pelissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
🔒
U
4,23
🔒
B
5,37
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,63
🔒
U2,5
2,21
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.