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Ligue 1

Referee: M Vernice

Lens

S T S T S

0–4

Full-time

Auxerre

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Auxerre

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 38%

43%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

30%

60%

Both score Ø 45%

37%

53%

Average goals

2,3

2,9

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,44 xG 2,65

66% Possession 34%

16 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lens 8. · Auxerre 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	31	24	6	1	+53	+54.6	78
2	Lille	31	16	8	7	+17	+10.2	56
3	Monaco	31	16	7	8	+22	+38.5	55
4	Marseille	30	17	4	9	+20	+14.0	55
5	Lyon	31	16	6	9	+20	+11.5	54
6	Nice	31	15	9	7	+20	+18.1	54
7	Strasbourg	31	15	9	7	+13	-6.7	54
8	Lens	30	13	6	11	+2	+7.8	45
9	Brest	30	13	5	12	-1	-9.0	44
10	Rennes	31	12	2	17	+2	+4.8	38
11	Auxerre	30	10	8	12	-4	-13.9	38
12	Toulouse	30	9	7	14	-1	+11.8	34
13	Reims	30	8	8	14	-10	-20.1	32
14	Nantes	30	7	10	13	-15	-18.9	31
15	Angers	31	8	6	17	-21	-19.0	30
16	Le Havre	31	8	4	19	-31	-22.5	28
17	St Etienne	31	7	6	18	-37	-34.6	27
18	Montpellier	30	4	3	23	-49	-26.6	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	13	2	1	+27	+30.7	41
2	Monaco	16	11	3	2	+20	+24.6	36
3	Lille	15	10	3	2	+12	+3.7	33
4	Lyon	15	10	2	3	+15	+9.7	32
5	Strasbourg	15	9	5	1	+13	-0.4	32
6	Nice	15	9	4	2	+16	+16.3	31
7	Marseille	15	8	4	3	+13	+16.1	28
8	Brest	15	8	3	4	+7	-0.9	27
9	Auxerre	15	7	5	3	+8	+1.2	26
10	Rennes	16	8	1	7	+6	+5.6	25
11	St Etienne	15	6	3	6	-6	-6.7	21
12	Lens	15	6	2	7	-3	+7.9	20
13	Nantes	14	4	5	5	-1	-0.3	17
14	Toulouse	15	4	4	7	-3	+3.4	16
15	Reims	16	4	4	8	-6	-7.3	16
16	Angers	16	4	2	10	-16	-12.4	14
17	Montpellier	15	3	3	9	-21	-5.7	12
18	Le Havre	16	3	2	11	-24	-12.9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	15	11	4	0	+26	+23.9	37
2	Marseille	15	9	0	6	+7	-2.1	27
3	Lens	15	7	4	4	+5	-0.1	25
4	Lille	16	6	5	5	+5	+6.5	23
5	Nice	16	6	5	5	+4	+1.8	23
6	Lyon	16	6	4	6	+5	+1.8	22
7	Strasbourg	16	6	4	6	+0	-6.3	22
8	Monaco	15	5	4	6	+2	+13.9	19
9	Toulouse	15	5	3	7	+2	+8.4	18
10	Le Havre	15	5	2	8	-7	-9.6	17
11	Brest	15	5	2	8	-8	-8.1	17
12	Reims	14	4	4	6	-4	-12.7	16
13	Angers	15	4	4	7	-5	-6.7	16
14	Nantes	16	3	5	8	-14	-18.6	14
15	Rennes	15	4	1	10	-4	-0.9	13
16	Auxerre	15	3	3	9	-12	-15.1	12
17	St Etienne	16	1	3	12	-31	-27.9	6
18	Montpellier	15	1	0	14	-28	-20.9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.