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Ligue 1

Referee: R Lissorgue

Monaco

S U T S S

2–1

Full-time

Metz

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,8

1,8

Scored

2,3

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

63%

25%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

88%

50%

Both score Ø 51%

63%

38%

Average goals

4,0

2,6

Scored

2,6

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,00 xG 1,00

76% Possession 24%

27 Shots 8

13 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 11

10 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monaco 3. · Metz 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nice	9	5	4	0	+6	+5.4	19
2	Paris SG	9	5	3	1	+13	+12.3	18
3	Monaco	8	5	2	1	+10	+5.3	17
4	Lille	9	4	3	2	+2	+4.3	15
5	Brest	9	4	3	2	+1	+1.3	15
6	Reims	9	4	2	3	+3	+3.6	14
7	Nantes	9	4	2	3	+1	-4.5	14
8	Marseille	9	3	3	3	+0	+7.4	12
9	Rennes	9	2	5	2	+3	+4.6	11
10	Toulouse	9	2	5	2	+1	-7.8	11
11	Le Havre	9	2	4	3	-2	-5.2	10
12	Lorient	9	2	4	3	-4	-6.7	10
13	Strasbourg	9	3	1	5	-6	-3.0	10
14	Montpellier	8	2	3	3	+1	+1.9	9
15	Lens	9	2	3	4	-5	+0.6	9
16	Metz	8	2	2	4	-7	-7.1	8
17	Lyon	8	0	3	5	-10	-8.4	3
18	Clermont	7	0	2	5	-7	-4.0	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	3	1	1	+8	+4.8	10
2	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+6	+5.1	10
3	Monaco	4	3	0	1	+6	+1.8	9
4	Lille	4	3	0	1	+3	+3.8	9
5	Nice	5	2	3	0	+3	+4.1	9
6	Rennes	5	2	2	1	+4	+5.5	8
7	Nantes	5	2	2	1	+3	-2.7	8
8	Brest	4	2	2	0	+2	+5.2	8
9	Lorient	5	2	2	1	+1	-3.6	8
10	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	+1	+2.0	7
11	Le Havre	5	2	1	2	+1	+1.5	7
12	Toulouse	4	1	3	0	+3	-1.9	6
13	Reims	4	2	0	2	+1	+4.0	6
14	Lens	4	1	2	1	+0	+3.5	5
15	Metz	4	0	2	2	-2	-1.3	2
16	Montpellier	3	0	2	1	-2	+0.7	2
17	Lyon	4	0	2	2	-6	-3.8	2
18	Clermont	4	0	1	3	-4	-2.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nice	4	3	1	0	+3	+1.2	10
2	Paris SG	4	2	2	0	+5	+7.5	8
3	Monaco	4	2	2	0	+4	+3.5	8
4	Reims	5	2	2	1	+2	-0.4	8
5	Montpellier	5	2	1	2	+3	+1.2	7
6	Brest	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.9	7
7	Lille	5	1	3	1	-1	+0.5	6
8	Nantes	4	2	0	2	-2	-1.8	6
9	Metz	4	2	0	2	-5	-5.8	6
10	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-2	-5.9	5
11	Lens	5	1	1	3	-5	-2.9	4
12	Rennes	4	0	3	1	-1	-1.0	3
13	Le Havre	4	0	3	1	-3	-6.7	3
14	Strasbourg	4	1	0	3	-7	-5.0	3
15	Lorient	4	0	2	2	-5	-3.1	2
16	Marseille	5	0	2	3	-6	+2.3	2
17	Clermont	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.1	1
18	Lyon	4	0	1	3	-4	-4.6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.