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Ligue 1
Referee: J Stinat
Metz
T U T S S
0–1
Full-time
Monaco
S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 1
0 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 20
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Rennes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Lille 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Nimes 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Lyon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Angers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Monaco 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Bordeaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Nantes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Reims 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Lens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Dijon 2 0 0 2 -4 0
15 Strasbourg 2 0 0 2 -4 0
16 Brest 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Aug -19 Metz – Monaco 3–0 21. Jan -18 Monaco – Metz 3–1 18. Aug -17 Metz – Monaco 0–1 11. Feb -17 Monaco – Metz 5–0 1. Oct -16 Metz – Monaco 0–7

Match report

Metz Monaco
16′
🔁 S. Diop
↦ A. Golovin
19′
🟨 Ruben Aguilar
22′
⚽ B. Badiashile 0–1
24′
🟨 Youssouf Fofana
42′
🟨 Gelson Martins
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Youssouf Fofana
46′
🟥 Youssouf Fofana
49′
🟨 Aurelien Tchouameni
H. Diallo 🔁
↦ V. Angban
59′
59′
🔁 J. Aholou
↦ H. Onyekuru
P. Yade 🔁
↦ O. Nguette
70′
T. Ambrose 🔁
↦ I. Niane
70′
75′
🔁 G. Maripán
↦ A. Tchouaméni
76′
🔁 W. Geubbels
↦ Gelson Martins
76′
🔁 S. Jovetić
↦ W. Ben Yedder
C. Sabaly 🔁
↦ F. Boulaya
79′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Metz

4-3-3
16 A. Oukidja G
21 J. Boye D
3 M. Udol D
2 D. Bronn D
18 F. Centonze D
14 V. Pajot M
5 V. Angban M
11 O. Nguette F
10 F. Boulaya F
19 H. Maïga M
7 I. Niane F
Bench (9)
20 H. Diallo
26 P. Yade
9 T. Ambrose
15 C. Sabaly
30 M. Caillard
12 W. Tchimbembé
6 M. Fofana
23 B. Kouyaté
25 L. Jans

Coach: V. Hognon

Monaco

4-3-3
40 B. Lecomte G
29 D. Sidibé D
26 R. Aguilar D
20 A. Disasi D
32 B. Badiashile D
17 A. Golovin M
8 A. Tchouaméni M
22 Y. Fofana M
9 W. Ben Yedder F
11 Gelson Martins F
7 H. Onyekuru F
Bench (9)
37 S. Diop
6 J. Aholou
3 G. Maripán
13 W. Geubbels
10 S. Jovetić
38 E. Millot
1 R. Majecki
19 P. Pellegri
2 F. Ballo

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,74
🔒
U
3,48
🔒
B ✓
2,01
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,98
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,83
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.