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Ligue 1

Referee: J Hamel

Lorient

S S U S U

1–4

Full-time

Lille

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 24/25 matches

Win Ø 45%

25%

64%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

58%

40%

Both score Ø 49%

54%

44%

Average goals

3,1

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,9

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

44% Possession 56%

8 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lorient 17. · Lille 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	26	16	7	3	+30	55
2	Lille	25	16	7	2	+27	55
3	Paris SG	25	17	3	5	+42	54
4	Monaco	25	15	4	6	+15	49
5	Lens	26	11	7	8	+2	40
6	Metz	26	10	8	8	+6	38
7	Marseille	25	10	8	7	+4	38
8	Rennes	25	10	8	7	+4	38
9	Montpellier	26	11	5	10	-3	38
10	Angers	26	10	5	11	-10	35
11	Bordeaux	26	9	6	11	-4	33
12	Brest	26	9	4	13	-8	31
13	Reims	26	7	9	10	-2	30
14	St Etienne	26	7	9	10	-11	30
15	Strasbourg	26	8	5	13	-6	29
16	Nice	26	8	5	13	-7	29
17	Lorient	24	6	5	13	-15	23
18	Nantes	26	4	11	11	-15	23
19	Nimes	25	6	3	16	-27	21
20	Dijon	26	2	9	15	-22	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	10	1	2	+28	31
2	Lille	13	8	4	1	+14	28
3	Monaco	13	8	4	1	+13	28
4	Lyon	13	8	3	2	+16	27
5	Brest	13	7	1	5	+2	22
6	Metz	13	5	4	4	+3	19
7	Lens	13	5	4	4	+1	19
8	Bordeaux	13	5	4	4	+0	19
9	Montpellier	14	6	1	7	-2	19
10	Marseille	12	5	3	4	+2	18
11	Rennes	13	5	3	5	-2	18
12	Reims	12	4	4	4	-1	16
13	Lorient	12	5	1	6	-3	16
14	Angers	12	5	1	6	-4	16
15	St Etienne	13	3	6	4	-6	15
16	Strasbourg	13	3	4	6	-3	13
17	Nantes	13	2	7	4	-7	13
18	Nice	13	3	2	8	-10	11
19	Nimes	12	2	1	9	-13	7
20	Dijon	13	0	6	7	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	13	8	4	1	+14	28
2	Lille	12	8	3	1	+13	27
3	Paris SG	12	7	2	3	+14	23
4	Monaco	12	7	0	5	+2	21
5	Lens	13	6	3	4	+1	21
6	Rennes	12	5	5	2	+6	20
7	Marseille	13	5	5	3	+2	20
8	Metz	13	5	4	4	+3	19
9	Montpellier	12	5	4	3	-1	19
10	Angers	14	5	4	5	-6	19
11	Nice	13	5	3	5	+3	18
12	Strasbourg	13	5	1	7	-3	16
13	St Etienne	13	4	3	6	-5	15
14	Reims	14	3	5	6	-1	14
15	Bordeaux	13	4	2	7	-4	14
16	Nimes	13	4	2	7	-14	14
17	Nantes	13	2	4	7	-8	10
18	Brest	13	2	3	8	-10	9
19	Dijon	13	2	3	8	-12	9
20	Lorient	12	1	4	7	-12	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.