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Ligue 1

Referee: C Turpin

Lille

S S U S U

2–0

Full-time

Marseille

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 27/26 matches

Win Ø 51%

63%

38%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

41%

42%

Both score Ø 57%

48%

65%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

23 Shots 3

8 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

11 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 2. · Marseille 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	28	17	8	3	+31	59
2	Lille	27	17	8	2	+30	59
3	Paris SG	27	18	3	6	+44	57
4	Monaco	27	17	4	6	+19	55
5	Lens	28	12	8	8	+3	44
6	Metz	28	11	8	9	+6	41
7	Marseille	26	10	9	7	+4	39
8	Montpellier	27	11	6	10	-3	39
9	Angers	28	11	6	11	-9	39
10	Rennes	27	10	8	9	+2	38
11	Nice	28	10	5	13	-5	35
12	Brest	28	10	4	14	-8	34
13	Bordeaux	27	9	6	12	-5	33
14	Reims	27	7	10	10	-2	31
15	Strasbourg	27	8	6	13	-6	30
16	St Etienne	28	7	9	12	-13	30
17	Lorient	27	7	5	15	-18	26
18	Nimes	28	7	4	17	-27	25
19	Nantes	27	4	12	11	-15	24
20	Dijon	28	2	9	17	-28	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	10	1	3	+26	31
2	Monaco	14	9	4	1	+15	31
3	Lyon	14	9	3	2	+17	30
4	Lille	14	8	5	1	+14	29
5	Brest	14	8	1	5	+4	25
6	Marseille	13	5	4	4	+2	19
7	Metz	14	5	4	5	+2	19
8	Lens	13	5	4	4	+1	19
9	Bordeaux	14	5	4	5	-1	19
10	Montpellier	14	6	1	7	-2	19
11	Lorient	14	6	1	7	-5	19
12	Rennes	14	5	3	6	-3	18
13	Reims	13	4	5	4	-1	17
14	Angers	13	5	2	6	-4	17
15	St Etienne	14	3	6	5	-7	15
16	Nice	14	4	2	8	-9	14
17	Strasbourg	13	3	4	6	-3	13
18	Nantes	13	2	7	4	-7	13
19	Nimes	14	3	2	9	-12	11
20	Dijon	14	0	6	8	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	13	9	3	1	+16	30
2	Lyon	14	8	5	1	+14	29
3	Paris SG	13	8	2	3	+18	26
4	Lens	15	7	4	4	+2	25
5	Monaco	13	8	0	5	+4	24
6	Metz	14	6	4	4	+4	22
7	Angers	15	6	4	5	-5	22
8	Nice	14	6	3	5	+4	21
9	Rennes	13	5	5	3	+5	20
10	Marseille	13	5	5	3	+2	20
11	Montpellier	13	5	5	3	-1	20
12	Strasbourg	14	5	2	7	-3	17
13	St Etienne	14	4	3	7	-6	15
14	Reims	14	3	5	6	-1	14
15	Bordeaux	13	4	2	7	-4	14
16	Nimes	14	4	2	8	-15	14
17	Nantes	14	2	5	7	-8	11
18	Brest	14	2	3	9	-12	9
19	Dijon	14	2	3	9	-14	9
20	Lorient	13	1	4	8	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.