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Ligue 1
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Nimes
S T S S S
2–3
Full-time
Lille
U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 46%
38%
53%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
53%
Both score Ø 46%
44%
47%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

66% Possession 34%
17 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nimes 10. · Lille 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 16 14 2 0 +39 44
2 Lille 17 9 4 4 +10 31
3 Montpellier 16 8 5 3 +12 29
4 Lyon 16 8 4 4 +6 28
5 Marseille 16 8 2 6 +4 26
6 St Etienne 16 7 5 4 +3 26
7 Nice 16 7 4 5 -2 25
8 Reims 18 6 7 5 -3 25
9 Strasbourg 18 5 8 5 +5 23
10 Nimes 16 6 5 5 +3 23
11 Rennes 17 6 5 6 -2 23
12 Bordeaux 16 5 6 5 +0 21
13 Nantes 16 5 5 6 +0 20
14 Angers 16 4 6 6 -2 18
15 Toulouse 16 4 6 6 -10 18
16 Dijon 17 4 4 9 -12 16
17 Amiens 17 5 1 11 -14 16
18 Caen 17 2 8 7 -7 14
19 Monaco 16 3 4 9 -8 13
20 Guingamp 17 1 5 11 -22 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nimes Lille
4′
Rafael Leão 0–1
12′
🟨 Jonathan Bamba
16′
🟥 José Fonte
21′
🔁 Edgar Ié
↦ Rafael Leão
38′
🟨 Edgar Ié
41′
J. Bamba 0–2
M. Çelik
Half-time 0–2
R. Alioui 🔁
↦ S. Alakouch
46′
55′
🟨 Thiago Mendes
S. Thioub 🔁
↦ T. Valls
56′
Teji Savanier 🟨
57′
62′
🔁 J. Pied
↦ J. Ikoné
66′
N. Pépé 0–3
J. Bamba
1–3 R. Alioui
68′
Denis Bouanga 🟨
74′
77′
🔁 Thiago Maia
↦ Xeka
Jordan Ferri 🟨
79′
C. Dépres 🔁
↦ U. Bozok
81′
2–3 C. Dépres
T. Savanier
92′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Nimes

4-3-3
30 P. Bernardoni G
27 H. Lybohy D
18 T. Valls M
6 J. Ferri M
11 T. Savanier M
23 A. Briançon D
10 Denis Bouanga M
12 F. Maouassa D
29 S. Alakouch D
20 R. Ripart M
19 U. Bozok F
Bench (7)
7 R. Alioui
22 S. Thioub
9 C. Dépres
1 B. Valette
5 L. Landre
14 A. Bobichon
15 G. Paquiez

Coach: B. Blaquart

Lille

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
6 José Fonte D
17 M. Çelik D
22 K. Dabila D
23 Thiago Mendes M
8 Xeka M
25 F. Ballo D
12 J. Ikoné M
19 N. Pépé M
14 J. Bamba M
7 Rafael Leão F
Bench (7)
15 Edgar Ié
26 J. Pied
20 Thiago Maia
1 A. Jakubech
3 Y. Koné
11 Luiz Araujo
24 B. Soumaré

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.