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Ligue 1

Referee: S Frappart

Monaco

S U S S T

0–0

Full-time

Lille

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 63%

61%

64%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

75%

39%

Both score Ø 55%

64%

46%

Average goals

3,4

2,4

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,4

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

8 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monaco 4. · Lille 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	28	18	8	2	+32	62
2	Paris SG	28	19	3	6	+45	60
3	Lyon	29	17	9	3	+31	60
4	Monaco	28	17	4	7	+18	55
5	Marseille	29	12	9	8	+5	45
6	Lens	29	12	9	8	+3	45
7	Metz	29	11	9	9	+6	42
8	Rennes	29	11	8	10	+2	41
9	Montpellier	29	11	8	10	-3	41
10	Angers	29	11	6	12	-10	39
11	Bordeaux	29	10	6	13	-4	36
12	Nice	29	10	6	13	-5	36
13	Reims	29	8	11	10	-1	35
14	Brest	29	10	4	15	-10	34
15	Strasbourg	29	9	6	14	-6	33
16	St Etienne	29	8	9	12	-12	33
17	Lorient	29	7	7	15	-18	28
18	Nimes	29	7	5	17	-27	26
19	Nantes	28	4	12	12	-16	24
20	Dijon	29	2	9	18	-30	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	15	9	5	1	+16	32
2	Paris SG	14	10	1	3	+26	31
3	Monaco	14	9	4	1	+15	31
4	Lyon	14	9	3	2	+17	30
5	Marseille	15	7	4	4	+5	25
6	Brest	14	8	1	5	+4	25
7	Rennes	15	6	3	6	-2	21
8	Lens	14	5	5	4	+1	20
9	Montpellier	15	6	2	7	-2	20
10	Lorient	15	6	2	7	-5	20
11	Metz	14	5	4	5	+2	19
12	Bordeaux	15	5	4	6	-2	19
13	Reims	14	4	6	4	-1	18
14	Angers	14	5	2	7	-5	17
15	Strasbourg	14	4	4	6	-2	16
16	St Etienne	14	3	6	5	-7	15
17	Nice	14	4	2	8	-9	14
18	Nantes	14	2	7	5	-8	13
19	Nimes	15	3	3	9	-12	12
20	Dijon	15	0	6	9	-16	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	13	9	3	1	+16	30
2	Lyon	15	8	6	1	+14	30
3	Paris SG	14	9	2	3	+19	29
4	Lens	15	7	4	4	+2	25
5	Monaco	14	8	0	6	+3	24
6	Metz	15	6	5	4	+4	23
7	Nice	15	6	4	5	+4	22
8	Angers	15	6	4	5	-5	22
9	Montpellier	14	5	6	3	-1	21
10	Rennes	14	5	5	4	+4	20
11	Marseille	14	5	5	4	+0	20
12	St Etienne	15	5	3	7	-5	18
13	Reims	15	4	5	6	+0	17
14	Bordeaux	14	5	2	7	-2	17
15	Strasbourg	15	5	2	8	-4	17
16	Nimes	14	4	2	8	-15	14
17	Nantes	14	2	5	7	-8	11
18	Dijon	14	2	3	9	-14	9
19	Brest	15	2	3	10	-14	9
20	Lorient	14	1	5	8	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.