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Ligue 1
Referee: B Dechepy
Lille
S S S S S
0–0
Full-time
Brest
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 53%
67%
38%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
42%
75%
Both score Ø 55%
46%
63%
Average goals
2,4
3,4
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%
14 Shots 3
0 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lille 2. · Brest 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 25 17 3 5 +42 54
2 Lille 24 16 6 2 +27 54
3 Lyon 25 15 7 3 +29 52
4 Monaco 25 15 4 6 +15 49
5 Rennes 24 10 8 6 +5 38
6 Lens 25 10 7 8 +1 37
7 Metz 25 9 8 8 +5 35
8 Montpellier 25 10 5 10 -4 35
9 Angers 25 10 4 11 -10 34
10 Marseille 22 9 6 7 +3 33
11 Bordeaux 24 9 5 10 -2 32
12 Brest 24 9 3 12 -7 30
13 Reims 25 7 8 10 -2 29
14 Nice 24 8 5 11 -5 29
15 St Etienne 25 7 8 10 -11 29
16 Strasbourg 25 8 4 13 -6 28
17 Lorient 24 6 5 13 -15 23
18 Nantes 25 4 10 11 -15 22
19 Nimes 24 5 3 16 -29 18
20 Dijon 25 2 9 14 -21 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lille Brest
7′
🟨 Haris Belkebla
Zeki Çelik 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
T. Weah 🔁
↦ Luiz Araujo
61′
Y. Yazıcı 🔁
↦ J. Ikoné
61′
Renato Sanches 🔁
↦ Xeka
71′
Jonathan Bamba 🟨
75′
I. Lihadji 🔁
↦ J. David
90′
90′
🔁 J. Le Douaron
↦ F. Honorat
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Lille

4-4-2
16 M. Maignan G
6 José Fonte D
28 Reinildo D
2 M. Çelik D
3 Tiago Djaló D
21 B. André M
8 Xeka M
10 J. Ikoné F
11 Luiz Araujo M
7 J. Bamba M
9 J. David F
Bench (9)
22 T. Weah
12 Y. Yazıcı
18 Renato Sanches
19 I. Lihadji
1 O. Karnezis
26 J. Pied
5 S. Botman
24 B. Soumaré
29 D. Bradarić

Coach: C. Galtier

Brest

4-4-1-1
16 S. Cibois G
23 C. Hérelle D
5 B. Chardonnet D
18 R. Perraud D
20 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
8 P. Lasne M
7 H. Belkebla M
21 R. Faivre M
6 Jean Lucas F
15 S. Mounié F
9 F. Honorat M
Bench (9)
26 J. Le Douaron
3 L. Brassier
29 B. Fadiga
24 L. Baal
2 J. Duverne
1 G. Larsonneur
14 I. Cardona
22 J. Faussurier
10 G. Charbonnier

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,52
U ✓
4,15
B
6,34
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Dechepy · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.