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Ligue 1

Referee: J Miguelgorry

Marseille

S U U T S

3–1

Full-time

Brest

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Brest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 38%

39%

36%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

39%

71%

Both score Ø 61%

61%

Average goals

2,4

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

12 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 6. · Brest 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	28	18	8	2	+32	62
2	Paris SG	28	19	3	6	+45	60
3	Lyon	29	17	9	3	+31	60
4	Monaco	28	17	4	7	+18	55
5	Lens	28	12	8	8	+3	44
6	Marseille	28	11	9	8	+3	42
7	Metz	28	11	8	9	+6	41
8	Montpellier	28	11	7	10	-3	40
9	Angers	29	11	6	12	-10	39
10	Rennes	28	10	8	10	+1	38
11	Reims	29	8	11	10	-1	35
12	Nice	28	10	5	13	-5	35
13	Brest	28	10	4	14	-8	34
14	Strasbourg	28	9	6	13	-5	33
15	Bordeaux	28	9	6	13	-6	33
16	St Etienne	29	8	9	12	-12	33
17	Lorient	28	7	6	15	-18	27
18	Nimes	28	7	4	17	-27	25
19	Nantes	28	4	12	12	-16	24
20	Dijon	28	2	9	17	-28	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	15	9	5	1	+16	32
2	Paris SG	14	10	1	3	+26	31
3	Monaco	14	9	4	1	+15	31
4	Lyon	14	9	3	2	+17	30
5	Brest	14	8	1	5	+4	25
6	Marseille	14	6	4	4	+3	22
7	Montpellier	15	6	2	7	-2	20
8	Metz	14	5	4	5	+2	19
9	Lens	13	5	4	4	+1	19
10	Bordeaux	15	5	4	6	-2	19
11	Lorient	14	6	1	7	-5	19
12	Reims	14	4	6	4	-1	18
13	Rennes	14	5	3	6	-3	18
14	Angers	14	5	2	7	-5	17
15	Strasbourg	14	4	4	6	-2	16
16	St Etienne	14	3	6	5	-7	15
17	Nice	14	4	2	8	-9	14
18	Nantes	14	2	7	5	-8	13
19	Nimes	14	3	2	9	-12	11
20	Dijon	14	0	6	8	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	13	9	3	1	+16	30
2	Lyon	15	8	6	1	+14	30
3	Paris SG	14	9	2	3	+19	29
4	Lens	15	7	4	4	+2	25
5	Monaco	14	8	0	6	+3	24
6	Metz	14	6	4	4	+4	22
7	Angers	15	6	4	5	-5	22
8	Nice	14	6	3	5	+4	21
9	Rennes	14	5	5	4	+4	20
10	Marseille	14	5	5	4	+0	20
11	Montpellier	13	5	5	3	-1	20
12	St Etienne	15	5	3	7	-5	18
13	Reims	15	4	5	6	+0	17
14	Strasbourg	14	5	2	7	-3	17
15	Bordeaux	13	4	2	7	-4	14
16	Nimes	14	4	2	8	-15	14
17	Nantes	14	2	5	7	-8	11
18	Brest	14	2	3	9	-12	9
19	Dijon	14	2	3	9	-14	9
20	Lorient	14	1	5	8	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.