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Eredivisie
Referee: R Dieperink
2–0
Full-time
Waalwijk
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Waalwijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 24/25 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
20%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
42%
40%
Both score Ø 49%
46%
52%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
16 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 0
7 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 1
4 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 13. · Waalwijk 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 24 19 3 2 +57 60
2 PSV Eindhoven 25 16 6 3 +31 54
3 AZ Alkmaar 26 15 7 4 +23 52
4 Vitesse 25 15 3 7 +15 48
5 Feyenoord 23 13 5 5 +26 44
6 Groningen 25 12 6 7 +5 42
7 Twente 26 9 9 8 +4 36
8 Utrecht 22 9 8 5 +8 35
9 Heracles 26 10 5 11 -9 35
10 Heerenveen 26 8 9 9 -2 33
11 For Sittard 25 9 4 12 -9 31
12 Zwolle 25 5 11 9 -7 26
13 Sparta Rotterdam 24 7 5 12 -7 26
14 Waalwijk 25 5 8 12 -14 23
15 VVV Venlo 25 6 4 15 -30 22
16 Willem II 26 5 6 15 -25 21
17 Den Haag 26 2 9 15 -34 15
18 FC Emmen 26 2 8 16 -32 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Waalwijk
B. Smeets 🔁
↦ M. Engels
38′
Half-time 0–0
53′
🔁 T. Lutonda
↦ P. Quasten
1–0 T. Beugelsdijk
L. Duarte
57′
63′
🔁 T. Oosting
↦ A. Tahiri
64′
🔁 C. Ngonge
↦ O. John
D. Duarte 🔁
↦ W. Burger
66′
S. Mijnans 🔁
↦ A. Auassar
66′
81′
🔁 D. Min
↦ A. Azhil
81′
🔁 S. Adewoye
↦ S. Bakari
E. Emegha 🔁
↦ L. Thy
83′
2–0 B. Smeets
D. Duarte
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-4-2
1 M. Okoye G
5 A. Meijers D
3 B. Vriends D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
2 D. Abels D
6 A. Auassar M
8 L. Duarte M
7 A. Harroui M
10 W. Burger M
9 L. Thy F
11 M. Engels F
Bench (12)
13 B. Smeets
18 D. Duarte
15 S. Mijnans
16 E. Emegha
17 R. Kharchouch
14 M. Heylen
12 Jeffry Fortes
30 M. Fabrie
22 J. Meerstadt
20 B. van Leer
21 D. Vianello
19 D. Gravenberch

Coach: H. Fraser

Waalwijk

4-3-3
31 K. Lamprou G
5 P. Quasten D
59 A. Touba D
3 M. Meulensteen D
4 V. Anita M
8 A. Tahiri M
16 A. Azhil M
11 O. John F
21 L. Daneels F
9 F. Stokkers F
28 S. Bakari D
Bench (11)
20 T. Lutonda
25 T. Oosting
7 C. Ngonge
27 D. Min
29 S. Adewoye
15 L. Nieuwpoort
12 H. Mulder
30 J. Efmorfidis
1 E. Vaessen
2 J. Gaari
19 S. Sow

Coach: F. Grim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,92
U
3,54
B
3,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Dieperink · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.