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La Liga

Referee: Jorge Figueroa

Real Madrid

S S S U U

2–1

Full-time

Elche

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Elche

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 26/25 matches

Win Ø 41%

62%

20%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

38%

48%

Both score Ø 55%

54%

56%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,7

0,9

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%

17 Shots 3

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Elche 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	26	19	5	2	+32	62
2	Barcelona	26	17	5	4	+35	56
3	Real Madrid	26	16	6	4	+23	54
4	Sevilla	25	15	3	7	+15	48
5	Sociedad	26	12	9	5	+22	45
6	Betis	26	13	3	10	-4	42
7	Villarreal	26	8	13	5	+5	37
8	Levante	27	8	11	8	+1	35
9	Ath Bilbao	26	9	6	11	+6	33
10	Celta	26	8	9	9	-6	33
11	Granada	26	9	6	11	-12	33
12	Valencia	27	7	9	11	-5	30
13	Cadiz	27	7	8	12	-19	29
14	Osasuna	26	7	7	12	-12	28
15	Getafe	26	7	6	13	-11	27
16	Valladolid	26	5	10	11	-12	25
17	Elche	25	5	9	11	-14	24
18	Alaves	27	5	8	14	-20	23
19	Eibar	26	4	10	12	-9	22
20	Huesca	26	3	11	12	-15	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	14	10	3	1	+20	33
2	Barcelona	13	8	4	1	+19	28
3	Real Madrid	12	8	1	3	+13	25
4	Sevilla	12	8	1	3	+10	25
5	Granada	13	7	3	3	+3	24
6	Sociedad	13	6	5	2	+13	23
7	Ath Bilbao	13	7	2	4	+10	23
8	Betis	13	7	2	4	+2	23
9	Levante	14	5	7	2	+4	22
10	Villarreal	13	5	6	2	+4	21
11	Valencia	13	5	5	3	+5	20
12	Celta	12	6	2	4	+0	20
13	Getafe	13	5	3	5	+3	18
14	Elche	13	3	6	4	-5	15
15	Osasuna	13	4	3	6	-6	15
16	Alaves	14	3	5	6	-6	14
17	Valladolid	13	3	4	6	-7	13
18	Cadiz	14	3	4	7	-10	13
19	Huesca	13	2	5	6	-6	11
20	Eibar	13	1	6	6	-7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	12	9	2	1	+12	29
2	Real Madrid	14	8	5	1	+10	29
3	Barcelona	13	9	1	3	+16	28
4	Sevilla	13	7	2	4	+5	23
5	Sociedad	13	6	4	3	+9	22
6	Betis	13	6	1	6	-6	19
7	Villarreal	13	3	7	3	+1	16
8	Cadiz	13	4	4	5	-9	16
9	Eibar	13	3	4	6	-2	13
10	Levante	13	3	4	6	-3	13
11	Celta	14	2	7	5	-6	13
12	Osasuna	13	3	4	6	-6	13
13	Valladolid	13	2	6	5	-5	12
14	Ath Bilbao	13	2	4	7	-4	10
15	Valencia	14	2	4	8	-10	10
16	Huesca	13	1	6	6	-9	9
17	Elche	12	2	3	7	-9	9
18	Alaves	13	2	3	8	-14	9
19	Getafe	13	2	3	8	-14	9
20	Granada	13	2	3	8	-15	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.