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Ligue 1
Referee: B Millot
Angers
T T U U S
0–1
Full-time
St Etienne
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 32%
39%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
54%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
4 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 9. · St Etienne 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 28 18 8 2 +32 62
2 Paris SG 28 19 3 6 +45 60
3 Lyon 29 17 9 3 +31 60
4 Monaco 28 17 4 7 +18 55
5 Lens 28 12 8 8 +3 44
6 Marseille 28 11 9 8 +3 42
7 Metz 28 11 8 9 +6 41
8 Montpellier 28 11 7 10 -3 40
9 Angers 28 11 6 11 -9 39
10 Rennes 28 10 8 10 +1 38
11 Reims 29 8 11 10 -1 35
12 Nice 28 10 5 13 -5 35
13 Brest 28 10 4 14 -8 34
14 Strasbourg 28 9 6 13 -5 33
15 Bordeaux 28 9 6 13 -6 33
16 St Etienne 28 7 9 12 -13 30
17 Lorient 28 7 6 15 -18 27
18 Nimes 28 7 4 17 -27 25
19 Nantes 28 4 12 12 -16 24
20 Dijon 28 2 9 17 -28 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers St Etienne
Half-time 0–1
52′
W. Khazri 0–1
C. Abi
54′
🟨 Denis Bouanga
Loïs Diony ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
56′
Mathias Lage 🔁
↦ T. Mangani
57′
S. Doumbia 🔁
↦ A. Bamba
57′
59′
🟨 Adil Aouchiche
60′
🔁 K. Monnet-Paquet
↦ A. Aouchiche
60′
🔁 R. Boudebouz
↦ C. Abi
P. Capelle 🔁
↦ S. Boufal
68′
S. Bahoken 🔁
↦ L. Coulibaly
68′
M. Cho 🔁
↦ L. Diony
82′
82′
🔁 A. Moueffek
↦ Z. Youssouf
82′
🔁 A. Nordin
↦ W. Khazri
Angelo Fulgini 🟨
88′
95′
🔁 A. Modeste
↦ D. Bouanga
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
1 P. Bernardoni G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
25 A. Bamba D
5 T. Mangani M
18 I. Amadou M
13 S. Boufal M
10 A. Fulgini M
14 L. Coulibaly M
9 L. Diony F
Bench (9)
27 Mathias Lage
3 S. Doumbia
15 P. Capelle
19 S. Bahoken
21 M. Cho
28 F. El Melali
16 L. Butelle
4 M. Pavlović
23 A. Bobichon

Coach: S. Moulin

St Etienne

3-4-1-2
30 J. Moulin G
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
13 M. Trauco M
6 P. Cissé D
35 S. Sow D
8 M. Camara M
28 Z. Youssouf M
17 A. Aouchiche F
10 W. Khazri F
20 D. Bouanga M
9 C. Abi F
Bench (9)
22 K. Monnet-Paquet
7 R. Boudebouz
33 A. Moueffek
18 A. Nordin
14 A. Modeste
4 P. Retsos
11 Gabriel Silva
32 M. Rivera
1 S. Bajic

Coach: C. Puel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,54
U
3,13
B ✓
2,97
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,36
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.