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Bundesliga
Referee: C Ciochirca
Salzburg
S S S T S
3–1
Full-time
Admira
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Admira
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,5
2,5
Scored
3,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 45%
75%
15%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
80%
80%
Both score Ø 65%
70%
60%
Average goals
4,3
3,4
Scored
3,2
1,1
Conceded
1,2
2,4
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

68% Possession 32%
16 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 1. · Admira 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 20 15 1 4 +40 46
2 SK Rapid 20 12 5 3 +14 41
3 LASK 20 12 3 5 +19 39
4 Sturm Graz 20 10 5 5 +13 35
5 Wolfsberger AC 20 9 3 8 +1 30
6 Hartberg 20 7 7 6 -9 28
7 Tirol 20 7 5 8 +1 26
8 Austria Vienna 20 6 7 7 +2 25
9 St. Polten 20 5 5 10 -9 20
10 Ried 20 4 4 12 -21 16
11 Altach 20 4 3 13 -25 15
12 Admira 20 3 4 13 -26 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salzburg Admira
1–0 A. Bernède
13′
14′
🟨 Josef Ganda
2–0 R. Kristensen
Z. Junuzović
23′
3–0 P. Daka
K. Adeyemi
30′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 M. Maier
↦ D. Starkl
60′
N. Datković 3–1
D. Atanga
Bernardo 🔁
↦ A. Bernède
66′
66′
🔁 M. Ostrzolek
↦ J. Ganda
66′
🔁 M. Breunig
↦ A. Wooten
L. Sučić 🔁
↦ K. Adeyemi
67′
76′
🔁 L. Malicsek
↦ M. Kadlec
N. Seiwald 🔁
↦ Z. Junuzović
77′
79′
🟨 Roman Kerschbaum
85′
🔁 M. Hausjell
↦ D. Atanga
A. Vallci 🔁
↦ E. Mwepu
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-4-2
1 C. Stanković G
17 A. Ulmer D
15 André Ramalho D
39 M. Wöber D
43 R. Kristensen D
16 Z. Junuzović M
28 A. Bernède M
45 E. Mwepu M
11 B. Aaronson M
20 P. Daka F
27 K. Adeyemi F
Bench (7)
95 Bernardo
21 L. Sučić
13 N. Seiwald
5 A. Vallci
30 B. Šeško
23 N. Mantl
22 O. Solet

Coach: J. Marsch

Admira

3-4-3
1 A. Leitner G
93 N. Datković D
4 S. Bauer D
27 E. Aiwu D
8 R. Kerschbaum M
77 D. Atanga F
20 M. Kadlec M
99 A. Wooten F
7 D. Starkl M
97 J. Ganda F
63 L. Kronberger M
Bench (7)
22 M. Maier
84 M. Ostrzolek
10 M. Breunig
12 L. Malicsek
24 M. Hausjell
19 W. Vorsager
28 O. Hadžikić

Coach: D. Burić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Ciochirca · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.