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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Livingston
T T U T T
2–1
Full-time
Hamilton
S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Hamilton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 27%
35%
19%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
48%
42%
Both score Ø 47%
48%
45%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 5. · Hamilton 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 32 28 4 0 +68 88
2 Celtic 32 20 8 4 +42 68
3 Hibernian 31 15 7 9 +12 52
4 Aberdeen 32 13 10 9 +2 49
5 Livingston 31 11 7 13 -2 40
6 St Mirren 32 10 9 13 -8 39
7 ST Johnstone 32 9 10 13 -7 37
8 Dundee United 32 8 12 12 -15 36
9 Motherwell 32 9 8 15 -16 35
10 Ross County 31 8 5 18 -31 29
11 Hamilton 31 6 8 17 -28 26
12 Kilmarnock 32 7 4 21 -17 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Dec -20 Hamilton – Livingston 0–2 12. Sep -20 Livingston – Hamilton 1–2 25. Jan -20 Hamilton – Livingston 2–4 30. Nov -19 Livingston – Hamilton 0–0 28. Sep -19 Hamilton – Livingston 2–1

Match report

Livingston Hamilton
Nicky Devlin 🟨
5′
1–0 J. Emmanuel-Thomas ⚽
N. Devlin
16′
30′
⚽ C. Smith 1–1
B. Easton
2–1 S. Pittman ⚽
36′
Jason Holt 🟨
42′
45′
🟨 Callum Smith
Half-time 2–1
55′
🔁 R. Hughes
↦ L. Hodson
J. Mullin 🔁
↦ A. Forrest
78′
J. Serrano 🔁
↦ C. Sibbald
84′
89′
🔁 D. Moyo
↦ C. Smith
90′
🟨 Aaron Martin
M. Poplatnik 🔁
↦ J. Emmanuel-Thomas
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Livingston

4-2-3-1
1 R. McCrorie G
2 N. Devlin D
23 J. Longridge D
27 J. Guthrie D
5 J. Fitzwater D
6 M. Bartley M
18 J. Holt M
10 C. Sibbald M
11 A. Forrest M
9 J. Emmanuel-Thomas F
8 S. Pittman M
Bench (9)
14 J. Mullin
12 J. Serrano
15 M. Poplatnik
40 G. Maley
25 E. Ambrose
21 J. McMillan
33 S. Lawson
37 J. Kabia
22 S. Tiffoney

Coach: D. Martindale

Hamilton

3-5-2
23 R. Fulton G
5 B. Easton D
16 A. Martin D
27 L. Hodson M
2 H. Odoffin M
21 K. Munro M
6 J. Hamilton D
34 R. Callachan M
8 S. Martin M
32 C. Smith F
7 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
15 R. Hughes
20 D. Moyo
25 S. Slaven
4 B. Stirling
14 C. Trafford
22 K. Gourlay
17 G. Stanger
26 M. Redfern
18 R. Mimnaugh

Coach: B. Rice

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,63
🔒
U
3,64
🔒
B
5,63
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,14
🔒
U2,5
1,69
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.