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Bundesliga
Referee: S Storks
Wolfsburg
S U S S T
5–0
Full-time
Schalke 04
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,8
0,3
Conceded
0,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,8
This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 27%
50%
4%
Points per game
1,9
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
46%
67%
Both score Ø 46%
50%
42%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,6
0,7
Conceded
0,9
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 8
6 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 3. · Schalke 04 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 24 17 4 3 +37 55
2 RB Leipzig 24 16 5 3 +26 53
3 Wolfsburg 24 12 9 3 +17 45
4 Ein Frankfurt 24 11 10 3 +14 43
5 Leverkusen 24 11 7 6 +16 40
6 Dortmund 24 12 3 9 +15 39
7 Union Berlin 24 8 11 5 +10 35
8 Freiburg 24 9 7 8 -1 34
9 Stuttgart 24 8 9 7 +8 33
10 M'gladbach 25 8 9 8 +1 33
11 Hoffenheim 24 8 6 10 -2 30
12 Werder Bremen 24 7 9 8 -4 30
13 Augsburg 25 8 5 12 -11 29
14 FC Koln 24 5 7 12 -20 22
15 Hertha 24 5 6 13 -15 21
16 Bielefeld 24 5 4 15 -25 19
17 Mainz 24 4 6 14 -21 18
18 Schalke 04 24 1 7 16 -45 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Schalke 04
0–1 S. Mustafi
own goal
31′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 W. Weghorst
R. Baku
51′
55′
🟨 William
2–1 R. Baku
W. Weghorst
58′
63′
🔁 B. Stambouli
↦ A. Schöpf
3–1 J. Brekalo
W. Weghorst
64′
João Victor 🔁
↦ R. Baku
72′
J. Roussillon 🔁
↦ M. Arnold
72′
M. Philipp 🔁
↦ A. Mehmedi
72′
72′
🔁 M. Hoppe
↦ K. Çalhanoğlu
72′
🔁 B. Oczipka
↦ B. Raman
4–1 M. Philipp
J. Roussillon
79′
D. Ginczek 🔁
↦ J. Brekalo
80′
B. Białek 🔁
↦ W. Weghorst
84′
85′
🔁 M. Maden
↦ A. Harit
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
25 J. Brooks D
19 K. Mbabu D
34 M. Pongracic D
14 A. Mehmedi M
23 J. Guilavogui M
27 M. Arnold M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
7 J. Brekalo M
20 R. Baku D
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (8)
40 João Victor
15 J. Roussillon
17 M. Philipp
33 D. Ginczek
21 B. Białek
5 J. Bruma
12 P. Pervan
39 T. Siersleben

Coach: O. Glasner

Schalke 04

3-5-2
23 F. Rønnow G
30 S. Mustafi D
20 S. Kolašinac M
13 William M
31 T. Becker D
33 M. Thiaw D
28 A. Schöpf M
8 S. Serdar M
25 A. Harit F
42 K. Çalhanoğlu M
9 B. Raman F
Bench (9)
17 B. Stambouli
43 M. Hoppe
24 B. Oczipka
47 M. Maden
40 C. Bozdogan
34 M. Langer
3 H. Mendyl
37 L. Mercan
38 M. Aydin

Coach: D. Grammozis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,35
U
5,02
B
9,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,27
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Storks · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.