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Super League
Referee: F San
Basel
T U T U T
4–1
Full-time
Luzern
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Super League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 36%
38%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
58%
75%
Both score Ø 71%
63%
79%
Average goals
2,9
3,4
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 27
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 11
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 4. · Luzern 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 23 14 8 1 +21 50
2 Servette 24 9 7 8 -2 34
3 Zurich 25 9 6 10 +2 33
4 Basel 24 9 6 9 -1 33
5 Luzern 24 8 7 9 +5 31
6 Lausanne 24 8 7 9 +2 31
7 St. Gallen 24 8 7 9 -1 31
8 Lugano 24 6 12 6 -1 30
9 Sion 24 5 10 9 -9 25
10 Vaduz 24 5 8 11 -16 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Dec -20 Luzern – Basel 1–2 4. Oct -20 Basel – Luzern 3–2 3. Aug -20 Basel – Luzern 0–0 21. Jun -20 Luzern – Basel 2–1 15. Dec -19 Luzern – Basel 2–1

Match report

Basel Luzern
1–0 R. Petretta ⚽
A. Kalulu
33′
38′
🟨 Louis Schaub
Half-time 1–0
L. Zuffi 🔁
↦ M. Palacios
46′
55′
⚽ L. Schaub 1–1
M. Frýdek
Andrin Hunziker 🟨
72′
A. Hunziker 🔁
↦ Arthur Cabral
72′
73′
🔁 V. Tasar
↦ J. Wehrmann
73′
🔁 Y. Alounga
↦ D. Sorgić
2–1 F. Frei ⚽
A. Kalulu
74′
E. Zhegrova 🔁
↦ A. Kalulu
80′
83′
🟨 Ibrahima Ndiaye
A. Durrer 🔁
↦ D. Males
87′
87′
🔁 Álex Carbonell
↦ L. Emini
3–1 E. Zhegrova ⚽
88′
4–1 A. Durrer ⚽
95′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
13 H. Lindner G
17 T. Klose D
28 R. Petretta D
4 E. Cömert D
21 J. van der Werff D
20 F. Frei M
23 P. Kasami M
26 A. Kalulu M
35 M. Palacios M
98 Arthur Cabral F
19 D. Males M
Bench (7)
7 L. Zuffi
32 A. Hunziker
30 E. Zhegrova
29 A. Durrer
22 O. Bunjaku
3 Gonçalo Cardoso
1 Đ. Nikolić

Coach: C. Sforza

Luzern

4-2-3-1
32 M. Müller G
5 Lucas D
4 S. Knežević D
34 S. Sidler D
11 P. Schürpf M
10 L. Schaub M
13 M. Frýdek D
3 J. Wehrmann M
7 I. Ndiaye M
31 L. Emini M
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (7)
16 V. Tasar
22 Y. Alounga
14 Álex Carbonell
17 S. Grether
21 A. Balaruban
1 D. Zibung
46 M. Burch

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F San · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.