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Ligue 1

Referee: A Delerue

Brest

S U T T T

2–3

Full-time

Marseille

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

58% Possession 42%

19 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Bordeaux	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Lille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Lorient	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Angers	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Reims	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Brest	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Nice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Nimes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Brest	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.