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2. Bundesliga

Darmstadt

T S T T S

4–1

Full-time

Erzgebirge Aue

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Erzgebirge Aue

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 36%

33%

38%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

71%

54%

Both score Ø 52%

58%

46%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

18 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 5

6 Corners 3

15 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Darmstadt 13. · Erzgebirge Aue 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	25	15	3	7	+19	48
2	Hamburg	25	13	7	5	+21	46
3	Holstein Kiel	24	13	7	4	+16	46
4	Greuther Furth	24	12	7	5	+17	43
5	Karlsruhe	24	12	4	8	+7	40
6	Heidenheim	24	11	6	7	+5	39
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	24	11	6	7	+4	39
8	Hannover	24	10	5	9	+8	35
9	Erzgebirge Aue	24	9	6	9	+0	33
10	St Pauli	24	8	8	8	-3	32
11	Paderborn	24	8	7	9	+0	31
12	Regensburg	23	7	8	8	-4	29
13	Darmstadt	24	8	4	12	-5	28
14	Nurnberg	24	7	6	11	-7	27
15	Braunschweig	24	6	6	12	-21	24
16	Osnabruck	23	6	4	13	-15	22
17	Sandhausen	24	6	3	15	-17	21
18	Wurzburger Kickers	24	4	3	17	-25	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	12	8	3	1	+14	27
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	8	3	1	+9	27
3	Bochum	13	8	2	3	+16	26
4	Hamburg	12	7	3	2	+16	24
5	Holstein Kiel	12	7	2	3	+5	23
6	Erzgebirge Aue	12	6	4	2	+6	22
7	Hannover	11	6	3	2	+11	21
8	Paderborn	12	6	3	3	+4	21
9	Greuther Furth	12	6	2	4	+6	20
10	Braunschweig	13	6	2	5	-3	20
11	Regensburg	12	5	4	3	+3	19
12	Sandhausen	12	5	3	4	+2	18
13	St Pauli	12	5	3	4	-1	18
14	Karlsruhe	12	4	3	5	+1	15
15	Darmstadt	12	4	2	6	-2	14
16	Nurnberg	12	3	4	5	-4	13
17	Wurzburger Kickers	12	3	3	6	-7	12
18	Osnabruck	11	2	1	8	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karlsruhe	12	8	1	3	+6	25
2	Greuther Furth	12	6	5	1	+11	23
3	Holstein Kiel	12	6	5	1	+11	23
4	Hamburg	13	6	4	3	+5	22
5	Bochum	12	7	1	4	+3	22
6	Osnabruck	12	4	3	5	-7	15
7	St Pauli	12	3	5	4	-2	14
8	Darmstadt	12	4	2	6	-3	14
9	Hannover	13	4	2	7	-3	14
10	Nurnberg	12	4	2	6	-3	14
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	3	3	6	-5	12
12	Heidenheim	12	3	3	6	-9	12
13	Erzgebirge Aue	12	3	2	7	-6	11
14	Paderborn	12	2	4	6	-4	10
15	Regensburg	11	2	4	5	-7	10
16	Braunschweig	11	0	4	7	-18	4
17	Wurzburger Kickers	12	1	0	11	-18	3
18	Sandhausen	12	1	0	11	-19	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.