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Championship
Referee: J Brooks
Bournemouth
T T S S U
2–3
Full-time
Barnsley
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — Championship · 34/33 matches
Win Ø 48%
44%
52%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
41%
52%
Both score Ø 49%
53%
45%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
5 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bournemouth 7. · Barnsley 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 35 23 7 5 +26 76
2 Watford 35 19 9 7 +22 66
3 Brentford 33 18 8 7 +25 62
4 Swansea 32 18 8 6 +16 62
5 Reading 35 18 6 11 +12 60
6 Barnsley 33 17 7 9 +9 58
7 Bournemouth 34 15 11 8 +17 56
8 Cardiff 35 15 9 11 +18 54
9 Middlesbrough 35 14 8 13 +3 50
10 Stoke 35 12 12 11 +2 48
11 Millwall 35 10 16 9 +1 46
12 QPR 34 12 10 12 -4 46
13 Bristol City 35 14 3 18 -12 45
14 Blackburn 36 12 8 16 +8 44
15 Preston 35 13 5 17 -6 44
16 Luton 35 12 8 15 -13 44
17 Nott'm Forest 35 10 10 15 -6 40
18 Derby 35 10 9 16 -13 39
19 Huddersfield 35 10 8 17 -12 38
20 Coventry 35 9 11 15 -14 38
21 Birmingham 35 8 11 16 -17 35
22 Sheffield Weds 34 9 7 18 -19 34
23 Rotherham 32 9 5 18 -8 32
24 Wycombe 35 5 8 22 -35 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Dec -20 Barnsley – Bournemouth 0–4

Match report

Bournemouth Barnsley
16′
M. Helik 0–1
M. Andersen
1–1 A. Groeneveld
J. Stanislas
22′
24′
🟨 Cauley Woodrow
43′
🟨 Mads Juel Andersen
J. Stacey 🔁
↦ A. Smith
45′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 C. Styles
↦ J. Williams
46′
🔁 H. Kane
↦ R. Palmer
46′
🔁 C. Morris
↦ C. Chaplin
2–1 D. Solanke
A. Groeneveld
47′
60′
D. Frieser 2–2
P. Billing 🔁
↦ B. Pearson
65′
S. Surridge 🔁
↦ S. Long
65′
67′
🔁 D. Dike
↦ D. Frieser
75′
🟨 Carlton Morris
Sam Surridge 🟨
78′
80′
C. Morris 2–3
A. Mowatt
Lloyd Kelly 🟨
86′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1
1 A. Begović G
15 A. Smith D
3 S. Cook D
18 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Kelly D
19 J. Stanislas M
22 B. Pearson M
8 J. Lerma M
12 S. Long F
9 D. Solanke M
10 A. Groeneveld M
Bench (9)
17 J. Stacey
29 P. Billing
14 S. Surridge
6 C. Mepham
11 J. Wilshere
20 Rodrigo Riquelme
32 J. Anthony
33 J. Zemura
23 M. Travers

Coach: J. Woodgate

Barnsley

3-4-3
40 B. Collins G
30 M. Helik D
6 M. Andersen D
2 J. Williams M
7 C. Brittain M
20 T. Sibbick D
28 D. Frieser F
27 A. Mowatt M
21 R. Palmer M
9 C. Woodrow F
11 C. Chaplin F
Bench (9)
4 C. Styles
8 H. Kane
14 C. Morris
10 D. Dike
26 M. Sollbauer
1 J. Walton
29 V. Adeboyejo
22 C. Oduor
24 A. Halme

Coach: V. Ismaël

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,22
U
3,26
B ✓
3,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brooks · 175 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.