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Championship
Referee: J Gillett
Birmingham
S T S U T
0–3
Full-time
Bristol City
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Championship · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 32%
23%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
34%
43%
Both score Ø 45%
46%
43%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
9 Shots 9
0 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 21. · Bristol City 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 35 23 7 5 +26 76
2 Watford 35 19 9 7 +22 66
3 Brentford 33 18 8 7 +25 62
4 Swansea 32 18 8 6 +16 62
5 Reading 35 18 6 11 +12 60
6 Barnsley 33 17 7 9 +9 58
7 Bournemouth 34 15 11 8 +17 56
8 Cardiff 35 15 9 11 +18 54
9 Middlesbrough 35 14 8 13 +3 50
10 Stoke 35 12 12 11 +2 48
11 Millwall 35 10 16 9 +1 46
12 QPR 34 12 10 12 -4 46
13 Bristol City 35 14 3 18 -12 45
14 Blackburn 36 12 8 16 +8 44
15 Preston 35 13 5 17 -6 44
16 Luton 35 12 8 15 -13 44
17 Nott'm Forest 35 10 10 15 -6 40
18 Derby 35 10 9 16 -13 39
19 Huddersfield 35 10 8 17 -12 38
20 Coventry 35 9 11 15 -14 38
21 Birmingham 35 8 11 16 -17 35
22 Sheffield Weds 34 9 7 18 -19 34
23 Rotherham 32 9 5 18 -8 32
24 Wycombe 35 5 8 22 -35 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham Bristol City
35′
K. Palmer 0–1
Iván Sánchez Aguayo 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
Ivan Šunjić 🟨
48′
49′
🟨 Nahki Wells
J. Leko 🔁
↦ Iván Sánchez
54′
62′
A. Semenyo 0–2
66′
🟨 Henri Lansbury
G. Gardner 🔁
↦ A. Halilović
68′
L. Jutkiewicz 🔁
↦ S. Hogan
68′
S. Cosgrove 🔁
↦ M. Colin
68′
75′
🔁 C. O'Dowda
↦ N. Wells
76′
C. O'Dowda 0–3
K. Palmer
81′
🔁 L. Walsh
↦ H. Lansbury
88′
🔁 M. Watkins
↦ F. Diedhiou
Marc Roberts 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Birmingham

4-2-3-1
30 N. Etheridge G
12 H. Dean D
2 M. Colin D
4 M. Roberts D
3 K. Pedersen D
17 Iván Sánchez M
11 Jérémie Bela M
35 A. Halilović M
34 I. Šunjić M
24 R. Harper M
9 S. Hogan F
Bench (9)
14 J. Leko
20 G. Gardner
10 L. Jutkiewicz
16 S. Cosgrove
5 G. Friend
6 Y. Valery
8 A. Clayton
1 Andrés Prieto
18 R. McGree

Coach: Karanka

Bristol City

4-2-3-1
1 D. Bentley G
19 A. Mariappa D
2 J. Hunt D
22 T. Kalas D
43 S. Sessegnon D
17 H. Lansbury M
45 K. Palmer M
42 H. Massengo M
21 N. Wells M
9 F. Diedhiou F
18 A. Semenyo M
Bench (9)
11 C. O'Dowda
8 L. Walsh
15 M. Watkins
30 T. Bakinson
23 T. Moore
12 M. O’Leary
34 R. Towler
28 S. Pearson
33 S. Bell

Coach: N. Pearson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,13
U
3,19
B ✓
3,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,39
U2,5
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Gillett · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.