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LaLiga2

Girona

T U S U T

1–1

Full-time

Lugo

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 33%

36%

29%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

21%

32%

Both score Ø 38%

29%

46%

Average goals

1,8

2,1

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

18 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 5

9 Corners 5

18 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Girona 10. · Lugo 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	28	18	6	4	+25	60
2	Almeria	28	17	4	7	+18	55
3	Espanol	28	16	6	6	+22	54
4	Leganes	28	15	5	8	+10	50
5	Sp Gijon	28	13	9	6	+10	48
6	Vallecano	29	13	7	9	+6	46
7	Ponferradina	29	12	7	10	+0	43
8	Mirandes	28	11	7	10	+1	40
9	Las Palmas	29	10	9	10	-8	39
10	Girona	28	10	8	10	-3	38
11	Malaga	28	10	7	11	-7	37
12	Oviedo	28	8	12	8	+3	36
13	Fuenlabrada	29	7	15	7	-1	36
14	Tenerife	28	10	6	12	-1	36
15	Lugo	28	8	10	10	-4	34
16	Logrones	28	8	7	13	-14	31
17	Alcorcon	28	8	6	14	-6	30
18	Cartagena	29	7	8	14	-10	29
19	Zaragoza	29	7	7	15	-8	28
20	Sabadell	28	6	9	13	-9	27
21	Castellon	28	7	5	16	-9	26
22	Albacete	28	6	8	14	-15	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	15	12	1	2	+13	37
2	Espanol	14	10	2	2	+15	32
3	Almeria	14	9	3	2	+16	30
4	Sp Gijon	14	8	6	0	+10	30
5	Mallorca	15	9	2	4	+14	29
6	Vallecano	14	9	2	3	+10	29
7	Las Palmas	14	8	3	3	+6	27
8	Tenerife	14	7	4	3	+9	25
9	Ponferradina	14	7	4	3	+4	25
10	Lugo	14	6	6	2	+6	24
11	Zaragoza	14	6	4	4	+3	22
12	Mirandes	14	5	6	3	+3	21
13	Girona	14	6	3	5	+1	21
14	Oviedo	14	5	5	4	+5	20
15	Cartagena	15	5	4	6	+1	19
16	Alcorcon	14	6	1	7	+0	19
17	Castellon	14	6	0	8	+4	18
18	Malaga	14	4	5	5	-2	17
19	Logrones	13	5	2	6	-5	17
20	Fuenlabrada	15	2	10	3	-1	16
21	Albacete	14	3	5	6	-4	14
22	Sabadell	14	2	6	6	-4	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	13	9	4	0	+11	31
2	Almeria	14	8	1	5	+2	25
3	Espanol	14	6	4	4	+7	22
4	Fuenlabrada	14	5	5	4	+0	20
5	Malaga	14	6	2	6	-5	20
6	Mirandes	14	6	1	7	-2	19
7	Sp Gijon	14	5	3	6	+0	18
8	Ponferradina	15	5	3	7	-4	18
9	Vallecano	15	4	5	6	-4	17
10	Girona	14	4	5	5	-4	17
11	Oviedo	14	3	7	4	-2	16
12	Sabadell	14	4	3	7	-5	15
13	Logrones	15	3	5	7	-9	14
14	Leganes	13	3	4	6	-3	13
15	Albacete	14	3	3	8	-11	12
16	Las Palmas	15	2	6	7	-14	12
17	Alcorcon	14	2	5	7	-6	11
18	Tenerife	14	3	2	9	-10	11
19	Lugo	14	2	4	8	-10	10
20	Cartagena	14	2	4	8	-11	10
21	Castellon	14	1	5	8	-13	8
22	Zaragoza	15	1	3	11	-11	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.