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Ligue 1

Referee: A Delerue

Nantes

T T U T S

1–1

Full-time

Marseille

T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 25/24 matches

Win Ø 29%

16%

42%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

48%

46%

Both score Ø 64%

64%

63%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%

6 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 1

2 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Nantes 18. · Marseille 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	26	16	7	3	+30	55
2	Lille	25	16	7	2	+27	55
3	Paris SG	25	17	3	5	+42	54
4	Monaco	25	15	4	6	+15	49
5	Rennes	24	10	8	6	+5	38
6	Marseille	24	10	7	7	+4	37
7	Lens	25	10	7	8	+1	37
8	Metz	25	9	8	8	+5	35
9	Montpellier	25	10	5	10	-4	35
10	Angers	25	10	4	11	-10	34
11	Bordeaux	25	9	6	10	-2	33
12	Brest	26	9	4	13	-8	31
13	Reims	26	7	9	10	-2	30
14	St Etienne	26	7	9	10	-11	30
15	Nice	25	8	5	12	-6	29
16	Strasbourg	25	8	4	13	-6	28
17	Lorient	24	6	5	13	-15	23
18	Nantes	25	4	10	11	-15	22
19	Nimes	24	5	3	16	-29	18
20	Dijon	25	2	9	14	-21	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	10	1	2	+28	31
2	Lille	13	8	4	1	+14	28
3	Monaco	13	8	4	1	+13	28
4	Lyon	13	8	3	2	+16	27
5	Brest	13	7	1	5	+2	22
6	Metz	13	5	4	4	+3	19
7	Bordeaux	13	5	4	4	+0	19
8	Marseille	12	5	3	4	+2	18
9	Rennes	13	5	3	5	-2	18
10	Lens	12	4	4	4	+0	16
11	Reims	12	4	4	4	-1	16
12	Montpellier	13	5	1	7	-3	16
13	Lorient	12	5	1	6	-3	16
14	Angers	12	5	1	6	-4	16
15	St Etienne	13	3	6	4	-6	15
16	Strasbourg	12	3	3	6	-3	12
17	Nantes	12	2	6	4	-7	12
18	Nice	12	3	2	7	-9	11
19	Dijon	13	0	6	7	-10	6
20	Nimes	11	1	1	9	-15	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	13	8	4	1	+14	28
2	Lille	12	8	3	1	+13	27
3	Paris SG	12	7	2	3	+14	23
4	Monaco	12	7	0	5	+2	21
5	Lens	13	6	3	4	+1	21
6	Rennes	11	5	5	1	+7	20
7	Marseille	12	5	4	3	+2	19
8	Montpellier	12	5	4	3	-1	19
9	Nice	13	5	3	5	+3	18
10	Angers	13	5	3	5	-6	18
11	Metz	12	4	4	4	+2	16
12	Strasbourg	13	5	1	7	-3	16
13	St Etienne	13	4	3	6	-5	15
14	Reims	14	3	5	6	-1	14
15	Bordeaux	12	4	2	6	-2	14
16	Nimes	13	4	2	7	-14	14
17	Nantes	13	2	4	7	-8	10
18	Brest	13	2	3	8	-10	9
19	Dijon	12	2	3	7	-11	9
20	Lorient	12	1	4	7	-12	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.