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Ligue 1

Referee: J Stinat

Brest

U S U T T

3–1

Full-time

Dijon

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Dijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

2,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 20%

33%

Points per game

1,1

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

70%

37%

Both score Ø 50%

59%

41%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,4

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 5

17 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 14. · Dijon 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	27	17	8	2	+30	59
2	Paris SG	27	18	3	6	+44	57
3	Lyon	27	16	8	3	+30	56
4	Monaco	27	17	4	6	+19	55
5	Metz	27	11	8	8	+7	41
6	Lens	27	11	8	8	+2	41
7	Marseille	26	10	9	7	+4	39
8	Montpellier	27	11	6	10	-3	39
9	Rennes	26	10	8	8	+3	38
10	Angers	27	10	6	11	-10	36
11	Bordeaux	27	9	6	12	-5	33
12	Nice	27	9	5	13	-6	32
13	Reims	27	7	10	10	-2	31
14	Brest	27	9	4	14	-10	31
15	Strasbourg	27	8	6	13	-6	30
16	St Etienne	27	7	9	11	-12	30
17	Lorient	27	7	5	15	-18	26
18	Nimes	27	7	4	16	-26	25
19	Nantes	27	4	12	11	-15	24
20	Dijon	27	2	9	16	-26	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	10	1	3	+26	31
2	Monaco	14	9	4	1	+15	31
3	Lille	14	8	5	1	+14	29
4	Lyon	13	8	3	2	+16	27
5	Brest	13	7	1	5	+2	22
6	Metz	13	5	4	4	+3	19
7	Marseille	13	5	4	4	+2	19
8	Lens	13	5	4	4	+1	19
9	Bordeaux	14	5	4	5	-1	19
10	Montpellier	14	6	1	7	-2	19
11	Lorient	14	6	1	7	-5	19
12	Rennes	14	5	3	6	-3	18
13	Reims	13	4	5	4	-1	17
14	Angers	13	5	2	6	-4	17
15	St Etienne	13	3	6	4	-6	15
16	Strasbourg	13	3	4	6	-3	13
17	Nantes	13	2	7	4	-7	13
18	Nice	13	3	2	8	-10	11
19	Nimes	14	3	2	9	-12	11
20	Dijon	14	0	6	8	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	13	9	3	1	+16	30
2	Lyon	14	8	5	1	+14	29
3	Paris SG	13	8	2	3	+18	26
4	Monaco	13	8	0	5	+4	24
5	Metz	14	6	4	4	+4	22
6	Lens	14	6	4	4	+1	22
7	Nice	14	6	3	5	+4	21
8	Rennes	12	5	5	2	+6	20
9	Marseille	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Montpellier	13	5	5	3	-1	20
11	Angers	14	5	4	5	-6	19
12	Strasbourg	14	5	2	7	-3	17
13	St Etienne	14	4	3	7	-6	15
14	Reims	14	3	5	6	-1	14
15	Bordeaux	13	4	2	7	-4	14
16	Nimes	13	4	2	7	-14	14
17	Nantes	14	2	5	7	-8	11
18	Dijon	13	2	3	8	-12	9
19	Brest	14	2	3	9	-12	9
20	Lorient	13	1	4	8	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.