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Serie A
Referee: G Camplone
Genoa
U U T U T
1–1
Full-time
Udinese
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 27%
23%
31%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
42%
Both score Ø 52%
54%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 14. · Udinese 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 26 19 5 2 +38 62
2 Milan 26 17 5 4 +20 56
3 Juventus 25 15 7 3 +30 52
4 Atalanta 27 15 7 5 +29 52
5 Roma 26 15 5 6 +13 50
6 Napoli 25 15 2 8 +26 47
7 Lazio 26 14 4 8 +5 46
8 Sassuolo 26 10 9 7 +2 39
9 Verona 27 10 8 9 +4 38
10 Sampdoria 26 9 5 12 -3 32
11 Udinese 26 8 8 10 -5 32
12 Fiorentina 27 7 8 12 -9 29
13 Bologna 26 7 7 12 -8 28
14 Genoa 26 6 9 11 -11 27
15 Spezia 27 6 8 13 -16 26
16 Benevento 27 6 8 13 -25 26
17 Cagliari 26 5 7 14 -14 22
18 Torino 24 3 11 10 -10 20
19 Parma 26 2 10 14 -29 16
20 Crotone 27 4 3 20 -37 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Udinese
1–0 G. Pandev
K. Strootman
8′
Goran Pandev ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
9′
Goran Pandev 🟨
10′
Domenico Criscito 🟨
28′
30′
R. De Paul 1–1
Half-time 1–1
64′
🔁 J. Makengo
↦ T. Arslan
G. Scamacca 🔁
↦ G. Pandev
70′
Milan Badelj 🟨
74′
81′
🔁 I. Nestorovski
↦ Llorente
V. Behrami 🔁
↦ K. Strootman
82′
M. Pjaca 🔁
↦ E. Shomurodov
89′
90′
🟨 Ilija Nestorovski
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Genoa

3-5-2
1 M. Perin G
4 D. Criscito D
77 D. Zappacosta M
14 D. Biraschi D
99 L. Czyborra M
20 K. Strootman M
21 I. Radovanović D
47 M. Badelj M
16 M. Zajc M
19 G. Pandev F
61 E. Shomurodov F
Bench (12)
9 G. Scamacca
11 V. Behrami
37 M. Pjaca
24 F. Melegoni
2 C. Zapata
5 E. Goldaniga
65 N. Rovella
32 A. Paleari
25 J. Onguéné
17 M. Portanova
18 P. Ghiglione
22 F. Marchetti

Coach: D. Ballardini

Udinese

3-5-2
1 J. Musso G
87 S. De Maio D
19 J. Stryger Larsen M
17 B. Nuytinck D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
16 N. Molina M
37 R. Pereyra F
22 T. Arslan M
10 R. De Paul M
11 Walace M
32 Llorente F
Bench (10)
6 J. Makengo
30 I. Nestorovski
96 S. Scuffet
90 M. Zeegelaar
45 F. Forestieri
31 M. Gasparini
29 P. Mićin
14 K. Bonifazi
7 S. Okaka
21 J. Braaf

Coach: L. Gotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,29
U ✓
2,96
B
2,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,46
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Camplone · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.