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Ligue 1

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Marseille

S U S S T

1–1

Full-time

Lille

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,5

1,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,8

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

11 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 4

0 Offside 5

12 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 8. · Lille 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Rennes	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Montpellier	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Lens	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Lille	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Monaco	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Paris SG	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Marseille	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Brest	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	Nice	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Angers	4	2	0	2	-3	6
12	Lyon	4	1	2	1	+2	5
13	Bordeaux	4	1	2	1	+1	5
14	Nantes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Nimes	4	1	1	2	+1	4
16	Lorient	4	1	0	3	-2	3
17	Metz	4	1	0	3	-2	3
18	Strasbourg	4	1	0	3	-5	3
19	Reims	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Dijon	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Montpellier	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Lens	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Lille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Lorient	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Brest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Metz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Paris SG	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Angers	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Nice	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Bordeaux	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Paris SG	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Nice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Monaco	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Angers	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Brest	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Nimes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Reims	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Metz	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Lorient	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.