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Ligue 1
Referee: F Batta
Strasbourg
U T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Dijon
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,3
0,7
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,3
0,3
Conceded
2,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Strasbourg 20. · Dijon 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rennes 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 St Etienne 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Lens 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Lille 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Monaco 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Montpellier 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Paris SG 4 2 0 2 +2 6
8 Marseille 3 2 0 1 +0 6
9 Angers 3 2 0 1 +0 6
10 Nice 4 2 0 2 -2 6
11 Lyon 4 1 2 1 +2 5
12 Bordeaux 4 1 2 1 +1 5
13 Nimes 4 1 1 2 +1 4
14 Nantes 3 1 1 1 +0 4
15 Lorient 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Brest 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 Reims 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Metz 3 0 0 3 -3 0
19 Dijon 3 0 0 3 -6 0
20 Strasbourg 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Strasbourg Dijon
Ludovic Ajorque 🟨
13′
33′
🟨 Frédéric Sammaritano
Half-time 0–0
D. Liénard 🔁
↦ J. Bellegarde
58′
L. Carole 🔁
↦ A. Caci
59′
60′
🔁 M. Chouiar
↦ F. Sammaritano
66′
🔁 W. Lautoa
↦ E. Ebimbe
M. Chahiri 🔁
↦ A. Waris
68′
I. Saadi 🔁
↦ A. Thomasson
77′
S. Prcić 🔁
↦ A. Djiku
77′
1–0 S. Mitrović
D. Liénard
80′
85′
🔁 R. Philippe
↦ B. Celina
85′
🔁 W. Younoussa
↦ J. Marié
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Strasbourg

4-3-1-2
30 B. Kamara G
13 S. Mitrović D
10 K. Lala D
24 A. Djiku M
19 A. Caci D
2 M. Simakan D
26 A. Thomasson M
27 I. Sissoko M
17 J. Bellegarde M
8 A. Waris F
25 L. Ajorque F
Bench (9)
11 D. Liénard
23 L. Carole
21 M. Chahiri
9 I. Saadi
14 S. Prcić
29 I. Aaneba
16 E. Kawashima
20 K. Zohi
33 B. Besic

Coach: T. Laurey

Dijon

4-3-3
16 A. Gomis G
25 B. Écuélé Manga D
26 F. Chafik D
13 A. Chalá D
4 J. Panzo D
7 F. Sammaritano M
14 J. Marié M
9 B. Celina F
22 D. Ndong M
8 E. Ebimbe F
27 A. Scheidler F
Bench (9)
21 M. Chouiar
24 W. Lautoa
23 R. Philippe
18 W. Younoussa
30 L. Ntumba
29 M. Dobre
19 A. Ngouyamsa
31 A. Arli
3 G. Ngonda

Coach: S. Jobard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,70
U
3,74
B
5,15
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.