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Ligue 1

Referee: J Pignard

Lille

S S S U S

1–0

Full-time

Metz

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

1,7

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,5

1,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

16 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 7. · Metz 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Nice	3	2	0	1	+1	6
3	Bordeaux	3	1	2	0	+2	5
4	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Lille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Lorient	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Lens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Angers	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Reims	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Paris SG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Brest	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Strasbourg	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Bordeaux	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Brest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Nice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Lyon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Nimes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Paris SG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Brest	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.