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Ligue 1
Referee: B Dechepy
Dijon
U T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Brest
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
4,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,5
3,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
7 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 18. · Brest 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Nice 3 2 0 1 +1 6
4 Bordeaux 3 1 2 0 +2 5
5 Lyon 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Monaco 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Rennes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Nantes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Nimes 2 1 0 1 +3 3
10 Montpellier 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Lorient 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Lens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Angers 2 1 0 1 -1 3
15 Reims 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Paris SG 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Metz 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Dijon 2 0 0 2 -4 0
19 Brest 2 0 0 2 -5 0
20 Strasbourg 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Brest
Pape Cheikh 🟨
19′
21′
🔁 J. Faussurier
↦ R. Pierre-Gabriel
24′
🔁 C. Battocchio
↦ H. Belkebla
42′
R. Perraud 0–1
J. Le Douaron
Half-time 0–1
R. Assalé 🔁
↦ J. Marié
46′
W. Lautoa 🔁
↦ P. Diop
46′
B. Celina 🔁
↦ M. Dobre
46′
46′
🔁 H. Mananga Mbock
↦ J. Le Douaron
Didier N'Dong 🟨
55′
Roger Assalé 🟥
55′
F. Sammaritano 🔁
↦ R. Philippe
63′
73′
🔁 I. Cardona
↦ R. Faivre
73′
🔁 B. Chardonnet
↦ C. Hérelle
W. Younoussa 🔁
↦ J. Panzo
80′
95′
I. Cardona 0–2
R. Perraud
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Dijon

4-3-3
16 A. Gomis G
25 B. Écuélé Manga D
26 F. Chafik D
13 A. Chalá D
4 J. Panzo D
14 J. Marié M
22 D. Ndong M
6 P. Diop M
29 M. Dobre F
8 E. Ebimbe F
23 R. Philippe F
Bench (9)
15 R. Assalé
24 W. Lautoa
9 B. Celina
7 F. Sammaritano
18 W. Younoussa
31 A. Arli
1 R. Rúnarsson
32 B. Racovitan
19 A. Ngouyamsa

Coach: S. Jobard

Brest

4-2-3-1
1 G. Larsonneur G
23 C. Hérelle D
18 R. Perraud D
2 J. Duverne D
20 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
26 J. Le Douaron M
7 H. Belkebla M
21 R. Faivre M
6 I. Diallo M
10 G. Charbonnier M
15 S. Mounié F
Bench (9)
22 J. Faussurier
11 C. Battocchio
28 H. Mananga Mbock
14 I. Cardona
5 B. Chardonnet
16 S. Cibois
27 H. Magnetti
24 Ludovic Baal
29 Heriberto Tavares

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,50
U
3,17
B ✓
2,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Dechepy · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.