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Ligue 1
Referee: Johan Hamel
Bordeaux
T T S S T
3–1
Full-time
Dijon
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 34%
35%
32%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
41%
71%
Both score Ø 55%
41%
68%
Average goals
2,4
3,4
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 11. · Dijon 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 34 29 3 2 +81 90
2 Lyon 35 21 9 5 +41 72
3 Monaco 34 21 7 6 +35 70
4 Marseille 34 20 9 5 +31 69
5 St Etienne 35 14 10 11 -5 52
6 Nice 34 14 8 12 +0 50
7 Rennes 34 13 9 12 +2 48
8 Montpellier 35 10 16 9 +1 46
9 Nantes 35 12 10 13 -6 46
10 Guingamp 34 12 9 13 -8 45
11 Bordeaux 34 12 7 15 -5 43
12 Dijon 34 11 9 14 -18 42
13 Amiens 34 11 7 16 -6 40
14 Angers 34 8 13 13 -8 37
15 Caen 34 10 7 17 -19 37
16 Toulouse 34 8 10 16 -13 34
17 Strasbourg 34 8 10 16 -22 34
18 Troyes 34 8 5 21 -23 29
19 Lille 34 7 8 19 -25 29
20 Metz 34 6 8 20 -33 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Dijon
1–0 Y. Sankharé
25′
Half-time 1–1
54′
N. Sliti 1–1
Lukas Lerager 🟨
57′
I. Lewczuk 🔁
↦ Malcom
66′
S. Meïté 🔁
↦ J. Plašil
66′
2–1 F. Kamano
72′
80′
🔁 V. Rüfli
↦ F. Chafik
2–2 V. Rosier
own goal
80′
V. Vada 🔁
↦ G. Laborde
83′
84′
🔁 A. Sahibeddine
↦ E. Massouema
88′
🔁 E. Loiodice
↦ J. Marié
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-3-3
1 B. Costil G
25 Pablo D
20 Y. Sabaly D
29 M. Poundjé D
31 J. Koundé D
18 J. Plašil M
13 Y. Sankharé M
19 L. Lerager M
24 G. Laborde F
7 Malcom F
11 F. Kamano F
Bench (7)
6 I. Lewczuk
10 S. Meïté
23 V. Vada
12 N. de Préville
22 Jonathan Cafú
5 Otávio
16 G. Poussin

Coach: G. Poyet

Dijon

3-5-2
30 B. Reynet G
4 P. Djilobodji D
5 O. Haddadi D
26 F. Chafik D
18 C. Yamberé D
19 V. Rosier D
20 R. Amalfitano M
14 J. Marié M
10 N. Sliti M
21 E. Massouema M
22 Kwon Chang-Hoon M
Bench (7)
23 V. Rüfli
36 A. Sahibeddine
34 E. Loiodice
1 B. Leroy
35 S. Robert
33 C. Faussot
3 A. Bouka Moutou

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Johan Hamel · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.