Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Fiorentina
Frosinone
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | +44 | 84 |
| 2 |
Napoli
|
30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | +31 | 63 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | +22 | 56 |
| 4 |
Milan
|
31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | +15 | 52 |
| 5 |
Atalanta
|
30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | +23 | 51 |
| 6 |
Roma
|
31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +11 | 51 |
| 7 |
Torino
|
31 | 12 | 13 | 6 | +12 | 49 |
| 8 |
Lazio
|
29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +12 | 48 |
| 9 |
Sampdoria
|
31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | +10 | 45 |
| 10 |
Fiorentina
|
30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 39 |
| 11 |
Sassuolo
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | -5 | 35 |
| 12 |
Parma
|
31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 |
Genoa
|
30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |
Cagliari
|
30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -14 | 33 |
| 15 |
Spal
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -15 | 32 |
| 16 |
Udinese
|
29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | -14 | 29 |
| 17 |
Empoli
|
30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -18 | 28 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -19 | 27 |
| 19 |
Frosinone
|
30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 |
Chievo
|
30 | 1 | 11 | 18 | -40 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Lafont
G
C. Biraghi
D
N. Milenković
D
Coach: S. Pioli
M. Sportiello
G
E. Goldaniga
D
A. Pinamonti
F
Coach: M. Baroni
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Roma
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Torino
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Lazio
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Daniele Chiffi · 37 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.