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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Chiffi
Fiorentina
T U T U U
0–1
Full-time
Frosinone
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 20%
27%
13%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
43%
53%
Both score Ø 48%
63%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
18 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 7
19 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fiorentina 10. · Frosinone 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 31 27 3 1 +44 84
2 Napoli 30 19 6 5 +31 63
3 Inter 30 17 5 8 +22 56
4 Milan 31 14 10 7 +15 52
5 Atalanta 30 15 6 9 +23 51
6 Roma 31 14 9 8 +11 51
7 Torino 31 12 13 6 +12 49
8 Lazio 29 14 6 9 +12 48
9 Sampdoria 31 13 6 12 +10 45
10 Fiorentina 30 8 15 7 +8 39
11 Sassuolo 30 8 11 11 -5 35
12 Parma 31 9 7 15 -17 34
13 Genoa 30 8 9 13 -14 33
14 Cagliari 30 8 9 13 -14 33
15 Spal 30 8 8 14 -15 32
16 Udinese 29 7 8 14 -14 29
17 Empoli 30 7 7 16 -18 28
18 Bologna 30 6 9 15 -19 27
19 Frosinone 30 4 8 18 -32 20
20 Chievo 30 1 11 18 -40 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fiorentina Frosinone
41′
🟨 Andrea Beghetto
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Maiello
↦ P. Sammarco
B. Dabo 🔁
↦ M. Benassi
58′
G. Simeone 🔁
↦ Gerson
58′
59′
🟨 Luca Paganini
68′
🔁 D. Ciofani
↦ M. Trotta
71′
🟨 Marco Capuano
D. Vlahović 🔁
↦ L. Muriel
79′
80′
🔁 F. Zampano
↦ L. Valzania
84′
D. Ciofani 0–1
A. Pinamonti
Bryan Dabo 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Edoardo Goldaniga
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-3
1 A. Lafont G
2 V. Laurini D
3 C. Biraghi D
20 G. Pezzella D
4 N. Milenković D
17 J. Veretout M
24 M. Benassi M
8 Gerson M
11 K. Mirallas F
29 L. Muriel F
25 F. Chiesa F
Bench (11)
14 B. Dabo
9 G. Simeone
28 D. Vlahović
6 C. Nørgaard
27 M. Graiciar
19 Cristóbal Montiel
5 F. Ceccherini
33 F. Brancolini
16 D. Hancko
31 Vitor Hugo
23 P. Terracciano

Coach: S. Pioli

Frosinone

3-5-2
57 M. Sportiello G
27 B. Salamon D
25 M. Capuano D
6 E. Goldaniga D
21 P. Sammarco M
7 L. Paganini M
66 R. Chibsah M
33 A. Beghetto M
16 L. Valzania M
20 M. Trotta F
89 A. Pinamonti F
Bench (12)
8 R. Maiello
9 D. Ciofani
17 F. Zampano
32 L. Krajnc
28 C. Ciano
22 F. Bardi
24 F. Cassata
18 F. Dionisi
2 P. Ghiglione
23 N. Brighenti
4 S. Simič
3 C. Molinaro

Coach: M. Baroni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniele Chiffi · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.