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Serie A
Referee: Fabrizio Pasqua
Frosinone
T T U S U
1–1
Full-time
Fiorentina
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
9%
36%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
64%
27%
Both score Ø 41%
27%
55%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 8
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Frosinone 19. · Fiorentina 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 11 10 1 0 +16 31
2 Inter 11 8 1 2 +15 25
3 Napoli 11 8 1 2 +12 25
4 Milan 11 6 3 2 +7 21
5 Lazio 11 7 0 4 +4 21
6 Sassuolo 11 5 3 3 +3 18
7 Torino 11 4 5 2 +3 17
8 Fiorentina 11 4 4 3 +8 16
9 Roma 11 4 4 3 +4 16
10 Atalanta 11 4 3 4 +6 15
11 Sampdoria 11 4 3 4 +4 15
12 Parma 11 4 2 5 -4 14
13 Genoa 11 4 2 5 -8 14
14 Cagliari 11 3 4 4 -4 13
15 Spal 11 4 0 7 -8 12
16 Udinese 11 2 3 6 -6 9
17 Bologna 11 2 3 6 -7 9
18 Empoli 11 1 3 7 -10 6
19 Frosinone 11 1 3 7 -15 6
20 Chievo 11 0 2 9 -20 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Frosinone Fiorentina
Francesco Zampano 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–1
47′
M. Benassi 0–1
F. Chiesa
Lorenzo Ariaudo 🟨
48′
F. Cassata 🔁
↦ R. Vloet
62′
A. Pinamonti 🔁
↦ J. Campbell
62′
66′
🔁 E. Fernandes
↦ M. Pjaca
Raffaele Maiello 🟨
68′
D. Soddimo 🔁
↦ M. Capuano
76′
76′
🔁 K. Mirallas
↦ M. Benassi
87′
🔁 D. Vlahović
↦ G. Simeone
1–1 A. Pinamonti
D. Soddimo
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Frosinone

3-4-2-1
57 M. Sportiello G
15 L. Ariaudo D
25 M. Capuano D
17 F. Zampano M
6 E. Goldaniga D
8 R. Maiello M
4 R. Vloet M
66 R. Chibsah M
33 A. Beghetto M
29 J. Campbell F
9 D. Ciofani F
Bench (12)
24 F. Cassata
89 A. Pinamonti
10 D. Soddimo
2 P. Ghiglione
5 M. Gori
11 S. Perica
19 L. Matarese
22 F. Bardi
23 N. Brighenti
27 B. Salamon
32 L. Krajnc
88 L. Crisetig

Coach: M. Longo

Fiorentina

4-3-3
1 A. Lafont G
31 Vitor Hugo D
3 C. Biraghi D
20 G. Pezzella D
4 N. Milenković D
17 J. Veretout M
24 M. Benassi M
8 Gerson M
10 M. Pjaca F
9 G. Simeone F
25 F. Chiesa F
Bench (12)
26 E. Fernandes
11 K. Mirallas
28 D. Vlahović
2 V. Laurini
5 F. Ceccherini
6 C. Nørgaard
7 V. Eysseric
14 B. Dabo
16 D. Hancko
33 F. Brancolini
34 K. Diks
69 B. Drągowski

Coach: S. Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Fabrizio Pasqua · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.