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Serie B
Referee: G Collu
Juve Stabia
S U T U S
2–1
Full-time
Cremonese
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juve Stabia Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,3
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 39/38 matches
Win Ø 40%
38%
42%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
46%
55%
Both score Ø 59%
51%
66%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juve Stabia 5. · Cremonese 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 38 25 7 6 +40 82
2 Pisa 38 22 8 8 +25 74
3 Spezia 38 17 15 6 +26 66
4 Cremonese 38 16 13 9 +18 61
5 Juve Stabia 39 15 13 11 +2 58
6 Catanzaro 39 12 20 7 +7 56
7 Cesena 39 14 11 14 -2 53
8 Palermo 39 14 10 15 +8 52
9 Bari 38 10 18 10 +1 48
10 Sudtirol 38 12 10 16 -7 46
11 Modena 38 10 15 13 -2 45
12 Carrarese 38 11 12 15 -10 45
13 Mantova 38 10 14 14 -9 44
14 Reggiana 38 11 11 16 -10 44
15 Brescia 38 9 16 13 -6 43
16 Frosinone 38 9 16 13 -13 43
17 Salernitana 38 11 9 18 -10 42
18 Sampdoria 38 8 17 13 -11 41
19 Cittadella 38 10 10 18 -23 40
20 Cosenza 38 7 13 18 -24 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juve Stabia Cremonese
1–0 C. Pierobon
34′
Nicola Mosti 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Moretti
↦ M. Bianchetti
Marco Ruggero 🟨
55′
2–0 A. Adorante
58′
63′
Manuel De Luca
penalty missed
64′
🔁 F. Vázquez
↦ J. Vandeputte
69′
🔁 F. Bonazzoli
↦ M. De Luca
Y. Rocchetti 🔁
↦ R. Floriani Mussolini
74′
M. Meli 🔁
↦ N. Mosti
74′
77′
D. Johnsen 2–1
T. Barbieri
Patryk Peda 🟨
79′
L. Sgarbi 🔁
↦ A. Adorante
81′
83′
🔁 F. Gelli
↦ M. Castagnetti
F. Maistro 🔁
↦ L. Candellone
89′
A. Louati 🔁
↦ K. Piscopo
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Juve Stabia

3-1-4-2
20 D. Thiam G
4 M. Ruggero D
45 P. Peda D
6 M. Bellich D
10 C. Pierobon M
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
98 N. Mosti M
11 K. Piscopo M
28 C. Andreoni M
9 A. Adorante F
27 L. Candellone F
Bench (12)
3 Y. Rocchetti
14 M. Meli
18 L. Sgarbi
37 F. Maistro
80 A. Louati
7 E. Dubickas
1 K. Matošević
2 D. Quaranta
17 G. Morachioli
55 G. Leone
24 M. Varnier
13 M. Baldi

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Cremonese

5-4-1
1 A. Fulignati G
4 T. Barbieri D
55 F. Folino D
23 F. Ceccherini D
15 M. Bianchetti D
7 Paulo Azzi D
11 D. Johnsen M
19 M. Castagnetti M
18 M. Collocolo M
27 J. Vandeputte M
9 M. De Luca F
Bench (10)
42 L. Moretti
20 F. Vázquez
90 F. Bonazzoli
14 F. Gelli
30 J. Tånnander
8 M. Valoti
25 D. Triacca
37 Ž. Majer
12 G. Drago
99 M. Nasti

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Collu · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.