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Coppa Italia
Referee: P Tremolada
Torino
U S U S T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino FeralpiSalo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%
28 Shots 5
14 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 13
10 Corners 0
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggiana 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Udinese 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Parma 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Verona 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Cremonese 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Bologna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Cagliari 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Cittadella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 FeralpiSalo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Lecce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Salernitana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Frosinone 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Catanzaro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
16 Spezia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Venezia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Virtus Entella 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Sampdoria 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Sudtirol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Cesena 2 0 1 1 -2 1
22 Modena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Palermo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Monza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Vicenza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Como 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Foggia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Ascoli 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Crotone 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Cosenza 1 0 0 1 -3 0
34 Bari 1 0 0 1 -3 0
35 Pescara 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.