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Coppa Italia

Referee: A Rapuano

Milan

S U S S U

0–1

Full-time

Torino

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Torino

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

34 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 3

10 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

12 Corners 4

4 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Torino	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Spezia	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Bari	3	2	0	1	+5	6
4	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Monza	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Parma	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Modena	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	FeralpiSalo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Palermo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	-3	3
20	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Reggina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Padova	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Como	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Torino	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Spezia	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Modena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Bari	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Parma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
21	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Bari	2	1	0	1	+2	3
3	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
4	FeralpiSalo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Parma	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	-3	3
9	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Reggina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Modena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Padova	1	0	0	1	-3	0
21	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Como	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.