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Serie A
Referee: D Doveri
Torino
T U U T S
0–0
Full-time
Milan
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Milan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,5
1,5
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 30/31 matches
Win Ø 49%
33%
65%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
40%
48%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
55%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 10
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 11. · Milan 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 31 20 7 4 +27 67
2 Inter 31 19 9 3 +41 66
3 Napoli 32 20 6 6 +32 66
4 Juventus 32 18 8 6 +21 62
5 Roma 32 17 6 9 +17 57
6 Lazio 32 16 7 9 +17 55
7 Fiorentina 31 16 5 10 +12 53
8 Atalanta 31 14 9 8 +17 51
9 Sassuolo 32 12 10 10 +6 46
10 Verona 32 12 9 11 +7 45
11 Torino 30 10 8 12 +5 38
12 Udinese 30 8 12 10 -5 36
13 Bologna 30 9 7 14 -12 34
14 Empoli 32 8 10 14 -15 34
15 Spezia 32 9 6 17 -22 33
16 Sampdoria 31 8 5 18 -13 29
17 Cagliari 32 5 10 17 -31 25
18 Genoa 32 2 16 14 -28 22
19 Venezia 31 5 7 19 -31 22
20 Salernitana 30 3 7 20 -45 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Milan
Saša Lukić 🟨
13′
18′
🟨 Fikayo Tomori
Tommaso Pobega 🟨
31′
36′
🟨 Pierre Kalulu
Half-time 0–0
55′
🔁 Junior Messias
↦ Brahim Díaz
A. Izzo 🔁
↦ D. Zima
63′
O. Aina 🔁
↦ W. Singo
64′
P. Pellegri 🔁
↦ A. Belotti
76′
82′
🔁 R. Krunić
↦ S. Tonali
A. Buongiorno 🔁
↦ M. Vojvoda
84′
D. Seck 🔁
↦ T. Pobega
84′
87′
🔁 M. Gabbia
↦ F. Tomori
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Torino

3-4-2-1
1 E. Berisha G
13 R. Rodríguez D
27 M. Vojvoda M
3 Bremer D
6 D. Zima D
17 W. Singo M
10 S. Lukić M
14 J. Brekalo F
4 T. Pobega F
28 S. Ricci M
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
5 A. Izzo
34 O. Aina
64 P. Pellegri
99 A. Buongiorno
23 D. Seck
18 D. Stojković
77 K. Linetty
15 C. Ansaldi
89 L. Gemello
32 V. Savić
11 M. Pjaca
24 S. Angori

Coach: I. Juric

Milan

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
2 D. Calabria D
23 F. Tomori D
19 T. Hernández D
20 P. Kalulu D
79 F. Kessié M
56 A. Saelemaekers M
8 S. Tonali M
9 O. Giroud F
17 Rafael Leão M
10 Brahim Díaz M
Bench (9)
30 Junior Messias
33 R. Krunić
46 M. Gabbia
22 M. Lazetić
5 F. Ballo
1 C. Tătărușanu
41 T. Bakayoko
27 D. Maldini
83 A. Mirante

Coach: S. Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,19
U ✓
3,51
B
1,94
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.