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Serie A

Referee: M Di Bello

Monza

S T S T T

1–2

Full-time

Udinese

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Udinese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

3,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,5

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%

10 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 5

4 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monza 20. · Udinese 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Roma	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Milan	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Fiorentina	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Spezia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Salernitana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Verona	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Cremonese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Lecce	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Monza	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Spezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Milan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Cremonese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Monza	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.